TROPICAL WAVE...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. TWO...CROSSING CENTRAL
AMERICA AND THE NW CARIBBEAN ALONG 84W/85W S OF 22N MOVING W
10-15 KT. THE N PORTION OF THE WAVE APPEARS TO BE FRAGMENTING
OFF THE MAIN AXIS...MOVING NW TOWARDS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL WITH
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION DEVELOPING FROM 19N-22N
BETWEEN 82W-86W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ALSO EXTENDS FROM E
NICARAGUA SEWD TO W PANAMA. A FEW SHIPS S OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH
REPORTED SLIGHTLY LOWER PRESSURES RELATIVE TO THEIR SURROUNDINGS
AT 1200Z...WHICH MAY INDICATE THAT A WEAK SFC LOW IS TRYING TO
FORM ALONG THE TROF.
TWD 205pm-Surface low forming south of Cuba
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21/84--possible LLC forming
Looking at the navy website, as well as the Cancun radar, and the NOAA zoom satellite, it looks like the LLC could be forming around 21/84, on the eastern edge of the convection (which could mean a little easterly shear--now that's a change)!
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Qscat=Bummer!
Qscat=Bummer!
Question---Doesn't QScat guess the wind direction based on ocean water movement...if this is the case, how long does it take the waves to respond to a change in wind direction?
Thanks!
Question---Doesn't QScat guess the wind direction based on ocean water movement...if this is the case, how long does it take the waves to respond to a change in wind direction?
Thanks!
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