Convection flare just south of......
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- dixiebreeze
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- dixiebreeze
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Stratosphere747
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- HURAKAN
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Conditions look to be horrible at this time for development, I hope they change during the next hours to come. At least bursting everyday tell us that the system is not death already. Is like a person in coma, at least the heart continues pulsing telling that the person is not entirely death. The same is happening with our X-TD.
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- dixiebreeze
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There is an ULL forming and rolling off to the west ahead of TD2. High pressure will build in over the area as the day progresses. This afternoons convective burst may not get blown out by shear.
The trough has been diving into the gulf rapidly and the high pressure starting to form over TD2 should build north to meet it. It will be interesting to see where the front stalls out.
Looked to me this morning as though the trough may dig further south than mid Florida and that the likeliest place for a cutoff surface low to form would be the Western gulf at the tail end of the front?
Be a lot more fun for you to go down to the beach and watch the surf come in from *north* of the trough where it is dry and cool.
The trough has been diving into the gulf rapidly and the high pressure starting to form over TD2 should build north to meet it. It will be interesting to see where the front stalls out.
Looked to me this morning as though the trough may dig further south than mid Florida and that the likeliest place for a cutoff surface low to form would be the Western gulf at the tail end of the front?
Be a lot more fun for you to go down to the beach and watch the surf come in from *north* of the trough where it is dry and cool.
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- Hurricanehink
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Stormcenter
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No problem
Hurricanehink wrote:Brent, you are exactly right. It looks like a pathetic wave, and it is going to have to sit for a while in the Gulf with little to no shear to have a chance of developing. Even then, dry air may be a problem.
That should be no problem by the time it (the wave)gets in the GOM the "dry air" will be gone. Don't be fooled by these early
season "cool fronts". They really don't amount to much and before you know it the dry air is gone.
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- The Dark Knight
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