Discussion of 92L

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cycloneye
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Discussion of 92L

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 05, 2004 7:11 pm

Here is the discussion at 8:05 PM about 92L

1013 MB LOW NEAR 17N42W IN THE CENTRAL ATLC IS NOW A CANDIDATE
FOR POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
THE LOW IS PART OF A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 42W S OF 25N MOVING W
15 KT. TSTMS BLEW UP OVERNIGHT NEAR THE LOW CENTER AND HAVE
CONTINUED THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH ISOLATED MODERATE FROM
15.5N-19N BETWEEN 41W-44W. THE LOW IS RATHER SMALL WITH ~15 KT
WESTERLY SHEAR INFLUENCING IT. IN ADDITION... THE LOW IS MOVING
INTO AN AREA OF DRY MID/UPPER LEVEL AIR ON THE WATER VAPOR...
CERTAINLY NOT AN IDEAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. THE WAVE IS
EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 KT AND ...REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT... IS FORECAST TO IMPACT THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON SUN.

92L is surrounded by dry air and SW shear so it will be tough for it to develop but as we know surprises happen in the tropics so let's see what happens with this little low pressure.
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#2 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 05, 2004 7:34 pm

Impact the Leeward Islands? It's up at 17 N already. It would have to move due west to clip the northernmost ones.
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