220
WTNT80 EGRR 300540
MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
AND NORTH ATLANTIC
GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 30.07.2004
NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+36 : 8.8N 23.5W
VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 31.07.2004 8.8N 23.5W WEAK
00UTC 01.08.2004 8.8N 25.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 01.08.2004 10.7N 25.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 02.08.2004 12.3N 26.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 02.08.2004 14.0N 29.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 03.08.2004 15.5N 32.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 03.08.2004 16.3N 35.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 04.08.2004 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
However the 2 things that I see important to note is first it will be a fish and second it will be a weak system a TD or a weak TS but this is only the first run from this global model so let's wait for more runs ahead to see if they drop it or not.So GFS is not alone anymore after days of being the loner.
Ummm interesting to see UKMET jumping at east atlantic
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cycloneye
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Ummm interesting to see UKMET jumping at east atlantic
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