99L discussion

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cycloneye
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99L discussion

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 29, 2004 1:04 pm

This is from the 2:05 TPC discussion:

A VERY ACTIVE/STORY PATTERN HAS TAKEN SHAPE OVER THE W ATLC
COURTESY OF A LARGE MID/UPPER LOW WHICH PINCHED OFF FROM THE
MID-OCEANIC TROUGH AND IS NOW CENTERED E OF THE BAHAMAS NEAR
24N73W. BROAD DIVERGENCE E OF THE UPPER LOW IS PRODUCING A
LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
NE OF THE BAHAMAS FROM 20N-30N BETWEEN 64W-72W. LATEST
OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A BROAD LOW
LEVEL TROUGH HAS FORMED WITHIN THIS AREA EXTENDING FROM THE E
TIP OF CUBA NEWD TO 30N65W. GIVEN THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THIS
FEATURE WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...SHEAR IS CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE
SYSTEM RESTRICTING DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...A MID/UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE IS BUILDING TO THE EAST AND CONDITIONS MAY BECOME MORE
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE UPPER
LOW MOVES WESTWARD TOWARD FLORIDA.
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#2 Postby yoda » Thu Jul 29, 2004 1:16 pm

So what does this mean? That the tropical disturbance will move toward FL? :?:
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#3 Postby The Dark Knight » Thu Jul 29, 2004 2:37 pm

I dunno.....Good question.....
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#4 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Jul 29, 2004 2:39 pm

It means it is going to be slow to develop first of all. And it is talking about the ULL moving West towards Florida, not the possible system if you read it closely.
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