11:30 TWO=Recons for both systems on friday.

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cycloneye
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11:30 TWO=Recons for both systems on friday.

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 29, 2004 10:17 am

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS/TPC NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT THU JUL 29 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR THE DRY TORTUGAS. ALTHOUGH SHOWER
ACTIVITY IS DISORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10
MPH.

SATELLITE IMAGES AND BUOY DATA INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES EAST OF NASSAU IN THE BAHAMAS IS
GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A
SURFACE CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME BUT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING
FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR
NORTHWEST ABOUT 10 MPH.

AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFTS ARE SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE BOTH
SYSTEMS ON FRIDAY...IF NECESSARY.
Last edited by cycloneye on Thu Jul 29, 2004 10:22 am, edited 3 times in total.
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 29, 2004 10:20 am

But if necessary they will go so still is not a stone thing they will go but it will depend on how they will organize in the next 24 hours.
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#3 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Jul 29, 2004 10:20 am

What buoys are out there around the bahamas disturbance? I could not find any on the NOAA Marine site.
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#4 Postby yoda » Thu Jul 29, 2004 10:22 am

I at least expect them to check out the Bahamas Disturbance tomorrow... the GOM disturbance, well, that we will wait and see.
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#5 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 29, 2004 10:30 am

The "Conch Republic Disturbance", as I like to call it, remembers me the first stages of Hurricane Gabrielle in 2001, it formed around that area and it was also from extratropical origens.

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#6 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 29, 2004 10:41 am

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#7 Postby The Dark Knight » Thu Jul 29, 2004 10:57 am

HMMMMM.........Well have to wait and watch....
I am currently updating my site for these two storms. http://www.capecodtropics.tk/
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#8 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 29, 2004 11:02 am

Cool. :eek: :) 8-) :eek:
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#9 Postby yoda » Thu Jul 29, 2004 11:09 am

Hurakan, could you tell me where you found that map? Thanks! :D
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