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bbadon
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#21 Postby bbadon » Sat Jun 12, 2004 10:32 am

MGC wrote:We are quite damp over here in Diamondhead. This system just might sneak up on us like Allison did. As I recall, Allison caught the NHC folks by surprise. Did they not call for no development the day before Allison formed? So far the models have done a good job this season forecasting surface lows. The low over Central America and the haiti low are two recent examples of model success. I tend to go with trends so I'd say there is a 50/50 chance that a weak low will form south of Louisiana this weekend. I doubt that it will become Alex though.......MGC


They said "No tropical storm formation expected" the very morning Allison formed.
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KatDaddy
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Correct bbadon

#22 Postby KatDaddy » Sat Jun 12, 2004 10:41 am

Yes TS Allison was a surprise to for TPC. It was surprise to many of us including me.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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PTPatrick
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Allison

#23 Postby PTPatrick » Sat Jun 12, 2004 10:45 am

I still love how Allison moved across southern lousiana and mississippi with a CLEAR LLC, and TS force winds...and yet, it was unclassified...and continued into NW Florida where it caused all the flooding in and around Tallahassee...sometimes I just dont know the NHC's head is. I mean EVERYTHING was there to re-classify it and yet they didn't until is was too late.
Last edited by PTPatrick on Sat Jun 12, 2004 11:29 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#24 Postby Anonymous » Sat Jun 12, 2004 11:19 am

Gosh I really do hope that something forms and produces torrential rains for the Gulf and especially the SE states - we need some action pretty bad, not mentioning the EXTREMELY boring pattern we've had since May. I mean, it's been absolutely intolerable here since May.........

almost like weather no longer exists...........


Ken
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MS GulfCoast
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#25 Postby MS GulfCoast » Sat Jun 12, 2004 12:00 pm

I have a daughter on vaction in Cancun. She called and wanted to know if there was a TD or TS because of the conditions down there. High winds and gusts. Blew a glass door and window out when she was in a shop. Lots or rain. I hope that everyone stays safe.

I'm watching clouds building over Bay St. Louis and hope that the rain skips us because the yard still is not dry.
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LaPlaceFF
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Wishcaster????

#26 Postby LaPlaceFF » Sat Jun 12, 2004 12:15 pm

kenl wrote:Gosh I really do hope that something forms and produces torrential rains for the Gulf and especially the SE states - we need some action pretty bad, not mentioning the EXTREMELY boring pattern we've had since May. I mean, it's been absolutely intolerable here since May.........

almost like weather no longer exists...........


Ken


Hey dude you need to settle down. People here in SE La. definately DON"T need torrential rain.
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HURAKAN
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#27 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jun 12, 2004 12:32 pm

Here in South Florida the rain cotinues to be badly needed.

Sandy Delgado
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#28 Postby Lindaloo » Sat Jun 12, 2004 12:34 pm

I agree with you on that Hurakan! Florida needs rain badly.
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