Carl Arredondo of WWL TV said.....

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

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MGC
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Carl Arredondo of WWL TV said.....

#1 Postby MGC » Fri Jun 11, 2004 7:52 pm

on the 6pm news this evening that a surface low could likely form in the central GOM Sat night or Sunday and track towards the Gulf coast. Likely landfall was anywhere from central La to the Fla panhandle. What are your local TV mets saying?.................MGC
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#2 Postby Steve » Fri Jun 11, 2004 7:55 pm

He and Jeff Baskin have been noting it for the last couple of days. I like that they're on top of it and now just pimping GFS forecasts (ala Dan Milham).

Steve
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#3 Postby lilbump3000 » Fri Jun 11, 2004 7:59 pm

Yep they all going with the GFS model. The only one what showed the ETA model forecast was wwltv.
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#4 Postby Stormsfury » Fri Jun 11, 2004 8:05 pm

lilbump3000 wrote:Yep they all going with the GFS model.


GRRRR!!!!!!

The only one what showed the ETA model forecast was wwltv.


The ETA basically shows a little more realistic scenario without convective feedback issues. The other globals also maintain the 500mb vorticity signature (meaning the upper feature isn't going to wind down quickly) ... with the dry mid/upper low currently off of the TX/MX coast, another core of mid-level westerlies will continue to approach and provide a shearing environment (although that westerly flow is enhancing diffluence over the disturbed area in the NW Caribbean ATT).

SF
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Anonymous

#5 Postby Anonymous » Fri Jun 11, 2004 8:34 pm

I am glad this topic was brought up. WWL appears to be going along with the GFS too much. I've been keeping up with David Bernard's comments and it seems like they aren't aware of the problems w/ the GFS. It also looks more certain that the bulk of the wx associated with the low will pass just east of SE LA, while WWL has a 50/50 approach to both the track and chances of development.
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