91L INVEST UP

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148496
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

91L INVEST UP

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 25, 2004 6:44 am

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

OK there it is the invest.I see the surface low still removed from the convection.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
CocoaBill
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 216
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 10:03 am
Location: Cocoa, FL
Contact:
Contact CocoaBill

#2 Postby CocoaBill » Tue May 25, 2004 7:01 am

is the current agreement that development is extremely unlikely at this time?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148496
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#3 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 25, 2004 7:06 am

Let's see how I phrase the words.Possible but not probable at this time.I say at this time because it well form a new low beneath the convection and then boom.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
FWBHurricane
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 495
Joined: Fri Apr 02, 2004 10:57 pm
Location: Midlothian/Ovilla, Texas
Contact:
Contact FWBHurricane

#4 Postby FWBHurricane » Tue May 25, 2004 7:08 am

Yes because usually that means strong shear is shreading the systems apart, blowing away all the convection from the center of the storm away from it...causing the center to be open and out of place. This storm probably wont intensify unless convection refires around the center of circulation. If not then the storm is doomed.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:
Contact Aquawind

#5 Postby Aquawind » Tue May 25, 2004 7:43 am

CocoaBill wrote:is the current agreement that development is extremely unlikely at this time?


The center must relocate under the convection..that alone happens regularly during the hurricane season... Although even if it does relocate under the convection it is no gurantee it will organize and could relocate or get displaced again with shearing. These teaser blobs happen every season..unfortunately the dammage from this system has already happened..
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#6 Postby Josephine96 » Tue May 25, 2004 8:28 am

If the center reforms and the shear relaxes.. then we may have a storm develop.

Otherwise.. It doesn't look too promising imho
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#7 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue May 25, 2004 8:31 am

You are all correct. The invest happened, but a terrible price for those in the islands. I hope future systems this season won't be so devastating to people and property.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: KirbyDude25 and 79 guests