Nice tropical wave emerging Africa but will fall apart

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cycloneye
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Nice tropical wave emerging Africa but will fall apart

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 20, 2004 7:58 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

But being may dont expect nothing from it in terms of development.If it was august or september this convective area would be favored for development but at this time in may conditions are not ripped for development as shear and cool waters dominate and you will see this blob fall apart. However the parade of tropical waves emerging Africa will start very soon and we will be watching to see from those waves which of them will develop into more than a wave especially from late july,August and September when the Cape Verde season kicks off into full speed.
Last edited by cycloneye on Thu May 20, 2004 1:28 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#2 Postby wx247 » Thu May 20, 2004 8:15 am

That is a nice blob... but watch it go *poof* very soon!! :lol:
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#3 Postby Brent » Thu May 20, 2004 8:24 am

wx247 wrote:That is a nice blob... but watch it go *poof* very soon!! :lol:


It will. Cape Verde Season is still a good ways away.
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#4 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu May 20, 2004 9:32 am

My goodness, Luis! That's almost worth a "Blob Alert!"
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 20, 2004 12:03 pm

Blob Alert ??Nah
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#6 Postby Brent » Thu May 20, 2004 12:08 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:My goodness, Luis! That's almost worth a "Blob Alert!"


:lol:
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#7 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 20, 2004 12:38 pm

Brent wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:My goodness, Luis! That's almost worth a "Blob Alert!"


:lol:


Brent nothing is going to happen with that blob as it will POOF but wait by late july,august and september things will be different at that part of the world. :)
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#8 Postby Brent » Thu May 20, 2004 12:42 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Brent wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:My goodness, Luis! That's almost worth a "Blob Alert!"


:lol:


Brent nothing is going to happen with that blob as it will POOF but wait by late july,august and september things will be different at that part of the world. :)


I know. I watched wave after wave come off last year(and the years before LOL) in June and most of July and fall apart.
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#9 Postby weatherluvr » Thu May 20, 2004 12:48 pm

I SEE AN EYE!!! :lol: j/k, wrong board...

Not only too early in the season, but too far south as well...
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#10 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 20, 2004 12:49 pm

But for being may I agree that it is a bomb so early comming out of Africa and will it be a signal of an active Cape Verde season later on?.
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#11 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 20, 2004 1:25 pm

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/GOOY.html

This well may be the first tropical wave that has emerged Africa as surface data from Dakar indicate that.But some tops of the clouds are warming already indicating weakening.However as I said above for being may it is an impressive feature that has emerged Africa.
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#12 Postby Hurricanehink » Thu May 20, 2004 1:41 pm

Wow, that's pretty cool looking. Bring on the storms!
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#13 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 20, 2004 5:58 pm

Hurricanehink wrote:Wow, that's pretty cool looking. Bring on the storms!


They will come but with time so dont worrie. :)
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Matthew5

#14 Postby Matthew5 » Thu May 20, 2004 6:03 pm

It has not went poof yet in it is holding its own 8-)
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#15 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 20, 2004 6:06 pm

Matthew5 wrote:It has not went poof yet in it is holding its own 8-)


Cloud tops are starting to warm indicating weakening but anyway for being may it is a interesting feature signs that later on things will be busy in the eastern atlantic.
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#16 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 20, 2004 7:50 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

It fell apart tonight as it was expected as almost all deep convection is gone but only some moderate convection and also is well south of 10n.However it is interesting to see those bomb waves comming out of Africa in may.But let's wait for the real prime time for that region by late july,august and september and thigs will be very different than what they are now with shear and cool waters.
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