ANYONE THINK THE BOC IS.......

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dixiebreeze
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ANYONE THINK THE BOC IS.......

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri May 14, 2004 2:41 pm

worth keeping an eye on right now?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/IR4/20.jpg
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boca
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not really

#2 Postby boca » Fri May 14, 2004 2:47 pm

I think its just a tease because its associated with the frontal trough and it will probably lose convection overnight, but we can only hope.
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ColdFront77

#3 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri May 14, 2004 2:50 pm

Tropical development is possible along frontal troughs/frontal boundaries; however the water temperatures in the western Gulf of Mexico are in the mid 70's.
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true

#4 Postby boca » Fri May 14, 2004 2:53 pm

good point cold front77
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#5 Postby wx247 » Fri May 14, 2004 4:08 pm

Not the good ole warm bath water that we will be seeing in Gulf and BOC later, but not too cool either. 80 is the threshold approx., correct?
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#6 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri May 14, 2004 4:18 pm

Yes, it is said that water temperature at and above 80° ripe for tropical development, however I have heard and witnessed SST's of 78° and 79° where a potential area of development has been and they do indeed develop before moving into cooler (less likely to not likely) or warmer (more likely for development).
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#7 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri May 14, 2004 4:22 pm

Probably is just a tease, as Boca speculated, though I think water temps are considerably warmed in mid-GOM. Don't see much shear going on, however.
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#8 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri May 14, 2004 4:33 pm

Temperatures in the central Gulf are in the mid to upper 70's, which makes sense with this only being mid May. Remember, even June and July are typically tranquil in the tropics.
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#9 Postby BreinLa » Fri May 14, 2004 4:34 pm

Never ignore a blobette in the Gulf or BOC hehehehe ya just never know
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#10 Postby Rainband » Fri May 14, 2004 4:41 pm

Too much shear as well :wink:
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#11 Postby wx247 » Fri May 14, 2004 7:03 pm

BreinLa wrote:Never ignore a blobette in the Gulf or BOC hehehehe ya just never know


The blobwatch begins!!! :lol:
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Anonymous

#12 Postby Anonymous » Fri May 14, 2004 7:05 pm

Shear values are 40-50 knots. The convection is firing along a cold front that is over the southcentral states.
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Josephine96

#13 Postby Josephine96 » Fri May 14, 2004 7:27 pm

I swear that blob is a TD LMAO j/k
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Blob watch continues

#14 Postby Stormcenter » Sat May 15, 2004 12:20 am

The BOC blobwatch continues. Hey didn't we have Ana develop last season in mid 70 waters?

:eek: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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