TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202003
1500Z THU DEC 04 2003
AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR HAITI.
AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST
OF SANTO DOMINGO. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS WHICH INCLUDES THE
INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLANDS AND SAMANA CAY AND
FOR THE TURK AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED FOR JAMAICA AND
EASTERN CUBA LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 76.3W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 100SE 100SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 76.3W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 76.5W
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.7N 75.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 17.5N 74.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.0N 73.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.0N 70.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 38.0N 60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGE EXTRATROPICAL LOW
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 76.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
FORECASTER AVILA
TS WATCH ISSUED FOR HAITI.........
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