https://x.com/philklotzbach/status/2042241120047124732
Expert forecasts for the 2026 NATL hurricane season= CSU April forecast=13/6/2 ACE: 90 / TSR=12/5/1 ACE: 66
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cycloneye
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Re: Expert forecasts for the 2026 NATL hurricane season
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cycloneye
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Re: Expert forecasts for the 2026 NATL hurricane season
The analog years are 2006, 2009, 2015 and 2023.
https://tropical.colostate.edu/Forecast/2026-04.pdf
https://x.com/philklotzbach/status/2042244138154799485
https://x.com/philklotzbach/status/2042242880018800876
https://tropical.colostate.edu/Forecast/2026-04.pdf
https://x.com/philklotzbach/status/2042244138154799485
https://x.com/philklotzbach/status/2042242880018800876
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DorkyMcDorkface
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Re: Expert forecasts for the 2026 NATL hurricane season
ngl that's more bullish than I thought they would go (particularly in the ACE department), but Klotzbach and co. know more than I possibly ever could so ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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AnnularCane
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Re: Expert forecasts for the 2026 NATL hurricane season= CSU April forecast=13/6/2 ACE: 90
I'm sure it will change. But right now it's pretty close to my own (very non-scientific) prediction in the numbers poll. I was debating whether to go with 5 or 6 hurricanes. 
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CyclonicFury
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Re: Expert forecasts for the 2026 NATL hurricane season= CSU April forecast=13/6/2 ACE: 90
Tropical Storm Risk's forecast is out. Forecasting a below average season with 12-5-1, 66 ACE:
https://tropicalstormrisk.com/docs/TSRA ... il2026.pdf
https://tropicalstormrisk.com/docs/TSRA ... il2026.pdf
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
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StPeteMike
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Re: Expert forecasts for the 2026 NATL hurricane season= CSU April forecast=13/6/2 ACE: 90
AnnularCane wrote:I'm sure it will change. But right now it's pretty close to my own (very non-scientific) prediction in the numbers poll. I was debating whether to go with 5 or 6 hurricanes.
Same here, off by one storm but easily could be a storm that comes and goes within a day or two near the East Coast or a Subtropical Storm.
I may be regretting my ACE guess, was sticking with the youths with the 67
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