From the 2025-12-17T12:15Z Tropical Weather Discussion:
Southwest N Atlantic Gale Warning: Low pressure is forecast to
develop Wed night near 29N59W, along the stationary front that
currently extends from 29N55W southwestward through the SE
Bahamas, then across east central Cuba. Gale force winds are
expected to begin across the W semicircle of the low center
early Thu morning then increase to 40 kt Thu evening and night as
the low moves E-NE. The low is then expected to move NE on Fri,
and lift N of 31N and the forecast area. Peak seas are expected to
build to 15-18 ft Thu night, with a large area of seas 12 ft and
higher from 27.5N between 54W and 60W by Thu night. Please read
the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane
Center at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml
for more information this event.
develop Wed night near 29N59W, along the stationary front that
currently extends from 29N55W southwestward through the SE
Bahamas, then across east central Cuba. Gale force winds are
expected to begin across the W semicircle of the low center
early Thu morning then increase to 40 kt Thu evening and night as
the low moves E-NE. The low is then expected to move NE on Fri,
and lift N of 31N and the forecast area. Peak seas are expected to
build to 15-18 ft Thu night, with a large area of seas 12 ft and
higher from 27.5N between 54W and 60W by Thu night. Please read
the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane
Center at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml
for more information this event.
The NHC has not marked this on their Tropical Weather Outlook; but the GFS, ECMWF, and CMC all show a possibility of the low acquiring subtropical characteristics as early as 42 hours from now.
