Historic storms you expect to see in your lifetime

[WaveBreaking]

-A sub-900 landfall on the level of the Labor Day Hurricane, or even stronger

Only one year later:

-A sub-900 storm in the open Atlantic

Erin was relatively close but still didn’t get there.

[Beef Stew]

With Melissa becoming the first sub-900 mb landfall in over 90 years in the Atlantic, I think this has checked off something that many of us expected to see within our lifetimes. I'll also go out on a limb and say I think that I personally expect that we'll see another sub-900 landfall in the atlantic within the ~50-60 years.

[Ed_2001]

A lot of good predictions about the Atlantic Already, Here's my two cents about other places in the NHEM. I think these are all probable within my lifetime and I believe >50% of them will eventually happen.

EPAC:
1, Another Patricia in term of intensity, and (related) a high end (155kts +) landfall on Mexico's pacific coast.
2, A solid Cat 4 (120-125kts) landfall on the Baja California Peninsula
3, A 70-75kts hurricane making landfall between San Diego and Long Beach, slightly stronger than 1858
4, A 55-65kts, possibly minimal hurricane making landfall between Long Beach and Santa Barbara, slightly stronger than 1939.

CPAC:
5, Another Iniki-like Cat 4 landfall on Hawaii.
6, A hurricane severely affecting or directly hitting Honolulu, related to the above.

WPAC:
7, An high end (155kts +), sub-900 typhoon on Taiwan or Hainan Island
8, A landfall on the Philippines even stronger than Haiyan or Goni, and probably a few more equal to those.
9, A Cat 5 landfall on Eastern China
10, A STY or Cat 5 on the Pearl River Delta
11, A borderline Cat 4 (110-120kts) hitting Tokyo
12, A landfall between 100 - 115kts on South Korea
13, A Cat 2 landfall on North Korea or Shandong
14, Fully tropical/Cat 1 landfall on Liaoning or Northern Honshu
15, Another freak intense typhoon on Thailand or even Malaysia, see Gay** 1989 and Vamei 2001

NIO:
16, A 150-155kts landfall in the Bay of Bengal.
17, An intense landfall on Sri Lanka, similar to one in 1964
18, First hurricane strength landfall on Iran
19, Before 2020 (cyclone Gati), there were no recorded hurricane strength landfall on the Somalian coast. We’ll likely see it again.

20, There's an https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate2777 2015 Paper mentioning an incredibly unlikely chance event of a TC moving into the Persian Gulf and threatening Dubai at an extreme intensity. I do not think this is probable in our lifetime, but the chance is not zero.

**Corrected name

[Sciencerocks]

Another hurricane in the south Atlantic within the next 20 years. By 2045.
A hurricane hitting Israel(65-85 knts)
A hurricane looping back into Maine
A cat5 landfallling on the ga or south Carolina coast. Think Hugo but stronger!
A cape verde hurricane recurving east of 30-35 and making landfall as a hurricane at 20+ north on the African coast.
Another 1938 hurricane should be expected within the coming decades.

A 200 mph hurricane in the Caribbean. Allen was 190 mph? Why not 200? Why not in a world that is warming and adding more and more fuel.

[Ptarmigan]

With Melissa becoming the first sub-900 mb landfall in over 90 years in the Atlantic, I think this has checked off something that many of us expected to see within our lifetimes. I'll also go out on a limb and say I think that I personally expect that we'll see another sub-900 landfall in the atlantic within the ~50-60 years.

I am not surprised this happened. It is invariable something like this would happen. The most intense tropical cyclone to make landfall is Severe Tropical Cyclone Winston, which is Southern Hemisphere's most intense tropical cyclone to date. It made landfall on Fiji with central pressure of 884 millibars in February 2016.

The 5 Biggest Cyclones on Earth: When Nature Went Full Power Mode
https://cycloneradar.com/the-5-biggest- ... ower-mode/

[Category5Kaiju]

As we saw with storms like Michael, Dorian, Otis, and Melissa, I, generally speaking, expect to see more storms in the coming years hit specific areas that have never seen such powerful storms in their recorded history. For example, the Texas coast has never recorded a Category 5 landfall....but that doesn't mean it cannot happen. The ABC islands? You have to look back to at least the 19th century to even find records of a hurricane directly striking those islands, that far south in the Atlantic. But what if one day, a major-strength hurricane makes landfall there? And Hawaii? What if a storm much stronger than Iniki occurs, perhaps even a Category 5?