Area of Convection Near 23N/60W

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Blown Away
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Area of Convection Near 23N/60W

#1 Postby Blown Away » Mon Jul 28, 2025 8:33 am

Image
Image

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Jul 28 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough reaches from near Bermuda to the central Bahamas.
A few showers and thunderstorms are active off Abaco Island near
this trough. Farther east, a large complex of showers and
thunderstorms are active within 90 nm of 23N60W, associated with
upper divergence interacting with the northern end of a tropical
wave. A recent scatterometer satellite pass confirmed fresh to
locally strong NE to E winds are still active to the north of
Haiti and the Windward Passage. Gentle breezes and 2 to 4 ft are
evident elsewhere west of 50W. The remainder of the basin is under
the influence of an expansive ridge centered north of the Azores.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
found south of 25N and west of 40W. In the far eastern Atlantic,
moderate to fresh N-NE winds and moderate seas are occurring north
of 20N and east of 22W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will dominate the weather pattern
across the forecast region Fri, supporting mostly gentle to
moderate winds and slight to moderate seas over the region.

$$
Christensen


Interesting area to watch during the quiet period...
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Re: Area of Convection Near 23N/60W

#2 Postby tropicwatch » Mon Jul 28, 2025 9:22 am

Looking like SAL is taking its toll on it at the moment.
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Re: Area of Convection Near 23N/60W

#3 Postby TomballEd » Mon Jul 28, 2025 10:30 am

Convection is decreasing but vorticity is eyeball visible and there are signs of outflow. Also signs of the dry air mentioned above.

Image
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Re: Area of Convection Near 23N/60W

#4 Postby chaser1 » Mon Jul 28, 2025 12:05 pm

Yes, I'd say it's a surprisingly impressive feature with impressive outflow. If not for the arid (Uncle Sal, not the deodorant :cheesy:) conditions around it, this could have escalated quickly.
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Re: Area of Convection Near 23N/60W

#5 Postby ChrisH-UK » Mon Jul 28, 2025 12:35 pm

It has a healthy circulation but as you can see the lack of moisture has killed any potential.

Image
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Re: Area of Convection Near 23N/60W

#6 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Jul 28, 2025 12:54 pm

ChrisH-UK wrote:It has a healthy circulation but as you can see the lack of moisture has killed any potential.

[url]https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/5582/lbBnFd.gif [/url]

Eye Candy, the Atalntic basin is rather hostile for the next 10 days and most likely beyond. SE Florida in a drought and the so is the basin, for now.
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Re: Area of Convection Near 23N/60W

#7 Postby JetFuel_SE » Mon Jul 28, 2025 4:25 pm

ChrisH-UK wrote:It has a healthy circulation but as you can see the lack of moisture has killed any potential.

[url]https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/5582/lbBnFd.gif [/url]


idk, the convection is looking pretty good rn.
Image
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Re: Area of Convection Near 23N/60W

#8 Postby Pas_Bon » Mon Jul 28, 2025 7:28 pm

JetFuel_SE wrote:
ChrisH-UK wrote:It has a healthy circulation but as you can see the lack of moisture has killed any potential.

[url]https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/5582/lbBnFd.gif [/url]


idk, the convection is looking pretty good rn.
https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/736018608366551111/1399502678156906549/20616483.gif?ex=68893bef&is=6887ea6f&hm=ac58b9d947089fd216ce5587517b1e0e8d6c877ac19b6dadde0bc99b295d44dc&=&width=1444&height=1073


Determined
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Re: Area of Convection Near 23N/60W

#9 Postby Landy » Mon Jul 28, 2025 7:42 pm

Won't amount to anything. There's no surface circulation, just a tropical wave. The convection can probably be attributed to the increased upper divergence in the area. It's mostly been focused too far east of the wave axis since last night for it to meaningfully make progress towards closing off. Wave should fizzle out sometime tomorrow.
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