Big ones for 2024

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cheezyWXguy
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Re: Big ones for 2024

#81 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Jul 09, 2024 1:44 pm

Category5Kaiju wrote:My predictions:

Isaac: Late August. High-end Cat 4. Ends up impacting the Caribbean islands, including the Antilles and Hispaniola before moving on out to sea. Many speculations on Storm2k that it will defy the curve and hit the US, except it doesn't.

Leslie: Early-mid September. Moderate Cat 5. Becames the first major East Florida coast hit since Jeanne in 2004 (but barely misses Miami), and then moves across the Gulf and hits Galveston Texas as a moderate Cat 4. Storm2k goes insane.

Patty: Late September. Moderate Cat 2. Impacts Central America. Storm2k complains about how sloppy and sheared it is, but then completely becomes serious when they realize how wet and slow-moving it will be.

Adria: Mid-October. High-end Cat 5. Becomes the season's strongest storm. Ends up as a powerful Caribbean cruiser, the first since 2007, and impacts Jamaica before moving over Cuba and hitting Sarasota Florida as a low-end Cat 4. Storm2k goes insane again.

Season ends with 4 storms retired. Isaac is replaced by Irving, Leslie is replaced by Layla, Patty is replaced by Paige, and Adria is replaced by Alyssa.

Now that Beryl is done, I’m gonna have to go ahead and ask you to erase take back the Leslie blurb. Lol
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ScottNAtlanta
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Re: Big ones for 2024

#82 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Thu Jul 11, 2024 1:02 pm

cycloneye wrote:
ScottNAtlanta wrote:Beryl and Debbie just seem like 2 names ripe for retirement, and Joyce and Tony keep coming to mind :lightning: :lightning: :think: :lightning: :lightning:


Wow. He said that on March 5. What are the powerball numbers. :D


12 17 15 24 43 21 (your mileage may vary :lol: :lol: :lol: )
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

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Re: Big ones for 2024

#83 Postby Category5Kaiju » Mon Jul 15, 2024 9:45 pm

While I think Isaac will be a big bad storm, that's imho a late August-early September issue.

I think the one to watch (and yes, this is going to sound crazy because it probably is :lol: ) as the big one to happen in between now and then is Debby. The Atlantic basin is quiet right now, but I have a sinister feeling about this level of quiet. Something just doesn't seem right. The basin is warming up as we head into August, wind shear seems to be favorable (even during a suppressed MJO phase!), and there doesn't seem to be a major wave-breaking issue. I think the basin is gearing up to produce a monstrous Cape Verde hurricane to open up the month of August. :lol:

I think Debby will either be another dangerous Caribbean Cruiser, or it may be an open-ocean cruiser that affects somewhere along the Eastern Seaboard. Cat 4+ hurricane. Gets retired and replaced with Daphne, Daria, Daisy, or Dorothy in 2025 :lol:

Did I just jinx the Atlantic? I mean, it's not going to be a Cape Verde hurricane, but....you get my point :lol:
Last edited by Category5Kaiju on Thu Aug 01, 2024 10:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Unless explicitly stated, all info in my posts is based on my own opinions and observations. Tropical storms and hurricanes can be extremely dangerous. Do not think you can beat Mother Nature. Refer to an accredited weather research agency or meteorologist if you need to make serious decisions regarding an approaching storm.

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Re: Big ones for 2024

#84 Postby chaser1 » Mon Jul 15, 2024 11:41 pm

Strongest hurricanes of the season-
Prediction: Francine, Helene, & Leslie
1) All 3 will strike the U.S. as Major hurricanes, with primary impact to Florida, Louisiana, & Texas between Aug 10 - Sept 10
2) All 3 will achieve reaching Cat 5 intensity over the course of
their respective storm tracks
3) Francine and Leslie will tie Hurricane Allen for highest
sustained winds (190 mph) recorded in the Atlantic basin

Strangest Track/Landfall-
Prediction: Nadine
1) Will rapidly develop in E. Caribbean and move Northwest and first striking Hispanola.
2) Downgraded to a TD, Nadine will track slowly northward before sharply turning westward and eventually striking between Jacksonville Fl. & Savannah Ga. on the morning of Sept. 8 as a Cat 1/2 hurricane.

Deadliest Hurricane of the season
Prediction: Tony
1) Will strike Central America as a Cat 4 between Sept. 25 - Oct.
5, resulting in season's deadliest (human toll) storm impact
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Andy D

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WaveBreaking
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Re: Big ones for 2024

#85 Postby WaveBreaking » Mon Oct 28, 2024 1:22 pm

Ptarmigan wrote:I think storm names starting with "H" and after will be the big ones.


Eerily accurate considering how the season really got its kick as soon as Helene formed :double:

Image
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