How many named storms will form in September?

[WeatherBoy2000]

I said six given the fact that Septembers in recent years have been consistently active regardless of the overall activity level, however it's not likely we'll see four storms during the second half of the month. Even 2022 had an active September, it's wild how much this season is busting.

[TampaWxLurker]

With Joyce forming today, we're now at 5.

[Teban54]

Assuming TD 12 becomes Kirk at 11am EDT (like best track indicates), the answer will be 6.

Reminder: At various points in September, people got the impressions that the month will end up with 2 or possibly even 0 named storms.

As for my own prediction:

Bold prediction: "Only" 6, but all 6 will be hurricanes.

Gordon and Joyce obviously didn't become hurricanes, but 4 of the 6 storms that formed in September did or will become hurricanes at some point, so the quality is still quite notable. Additionally, Francine, Helene and Isaac all overperformed expectations to some extent given their circumstances, whereas Kirk will likely overperform expectations of an MDR storm forming on September 30 as per climo.

[Ubuntwo]

I went with six, although I think over is more likely than under. I anticipate quite an active late Sept.

Finally not eating crow for once

[WeatherBoy2000]

I said six given the fact that Septembers in recent years have been consistently active regardless of the overall activity level, however it's not likely we'll see four storms during the second half of the month. Even 2022 had an active September, it's wild how much this season is busting.

This comment didn't age well, but my prediction of six storms did.

[SconnieCane]

On the 10th of this month, I was sure my bullish pick of seven, based on the pre/early-season activity forecasts, was going to bust badly. Now with Francine, Gordon, Helene, Issac, Joyce and Kirk all on the board, it's going to be only one over and might have been right on the money if only 91L could have formed a little bit faster.

Of course, when the October poll went up before all this happened, I picked "one" out of spite.

[Hammy]

I'll go on the conservative side and say five, because this season seems unable to produce anything in the subtropics. But since we can't pick a range on the vote I'll say 4-8

The ONE storm that formed in the subtropics this year made the month exceed my prediction