The dead season reasons.

[sponger]

Okay, the Atlantic looks like a hostile, dry sheared place where tropical systems go to die for months on end. I would like to start a discussion about the reasons why. Lets hear from anyone with a opinion! My explanation explains most of the weather extremes we are seeing and it is not pretty. I propose the weather anomalies globally are being caused by a Grand Solar Minimum. A weakening of the suns protective magnetic field that allows Cosmic Rays to increase. These rays weaken the jet stream allowing arctic and tropical air to mix in ways not seen for 150 years. This would account for the expanse of mid level dry air in the North Eastern Atlantic. It also explains the multiple 1000 year floods, droughts and hail storms. Any thoughts????

[NotSparta]

Maybe it's the aliens too

[HuracanMaster]

Its a weird season for sure, but I think we will have a very active second half. Theres too much unrealased energy in the atlantic thus far. I dont think itll remains bottled up for the rest of the season.
Im calling a delayed switch around September 22.

[Hammy]

While I'm not entirely sure what the background cause is, the over-amplified monsoon trough causing these massive, sprawling gyres rather than compact waves is a major cause--if the disturbances themselves are faulty so to speak, that's going to make it difficult for them to develop no matter where they reach

[MHC Tracking]

Okay, the Atlantic looks like a hostile, dry sheared place where tropical systems go to die for months on end. I would like to start a discussion about the reasons why. Lets hear from anyone with a opinion! My explanation explains most of the weather extremes we are seeing and it is not pretty. I propose the weather anomalies globally are being caused by a Grand Solar Minimum. A weakening of the suns protective magnetic field that allows Cosmic Rays to increase. These rays weaken the jet stream allowing arctic and tropical air to mix in ways not seen for 150 years. This would account for the expanse of mid level dry air in the North Eastern Atlantic. It also explains the multiple 1000 year floods, droughts and hail storms. Any thoughts????

IMO, moreso AGW enabling the anomalous subtropical warmth, weakening the Hadley Cell and allowing for more dry air in the Atlantic basin. This happened in 2013 as well.

[Hammy]

Okay, the Atlantic looks like a hostile, dry sheared place where tropical systems go to die for months on end. I would like to start a discussion about the reasons why. Lets hear from anyone with a opinion! My explanation explains most of the weather extremes we are seeing and it is not pretty. I propose the weather anomalies globally are being caused by a Grand Solar Minimum. A weakening of the suns protective magnetic field that allows Cosmic Rays to increase. These rays weaken the jet stream allowing arctic and tropical air to mix in ways not seen for 150 years. This would account for the expanse of mid level dry air in the North Eastern Atlantic. It also explains the multiple 1000 year floods, droughts and hail storms. Any thoughts????

IMO, moreso AGW enabling the anomalous subtropical warmth, weakening the Hadley Cell and allowing for more dry air in the Atlantic basin. This happened in 2013 as well.

2005 had a similar setup though. In fact 2013's subtropics were actually cooler than both this year and 2005.

[Category5Kaiju]

Okay, the Atlantic looks like a hostile, dry sheared place where tropical systems go to die for months on end. I would like to start a discussion about the reasons why. Lets hear from anyone with a opinion! My explanation explains most of the weather extremes we are seeing and it is not pretty. I propose the weather anomalies globally are being caused by a Grand Solar Minimum. A weakening of the suns protective magnetic field that allows Cosmic Rays to increase. These rays weaken the jet stream allowing arctic and tropical air to mix in ways not seen for 150 years. This would account for the expanse of mid level dry air in the North Eastern Atlantic. It also explains the multiple 1000 year floods, droughts and hail storms. Any thoughts????

IMO, moreso AGW enabling the anomalous subtropical warmth, weakening the Hadley Cell and allowing for more dry air in the Atlantic basin. This happened in 2013 as well.

2005 had a similar setup though. In fact 2013's subtropics were actually cooler than both this year and 2005.

For one of the most notorious seasons of all time, 2005 really didn't feature any long tracked, strong Cape Verde hurricanes (unlike years such as 2004, 2010, or 2017). Wonder if the subtropical warmth had anything to do with that

[cane5]

Speaking in South Florida if you really think about it we have had rare Hurricanes like Andrew Wilma and Irma before that we went years and years which go back almost to the Donna,Cleo and Betsey trio one year after another. I think David came years later and skirted the coast.

[cane5]

Speaking in South Florida if you really think about it we have had rare Hurricanes like Andrew Wilma and Irma before that we went years and years which go back almost to the Donna,Cleo and Betsey trio one year after another. I think David came years later and skirted the coast.

As for reasons I doubt anyone can conclusively give a solid reason if they do it’s pure guessing.

[tolakram]

My only opinion is that it's a bit early in the season to call the entire thing dead. I think this thread: https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopi ... 3#p2984193 is a better place for discussion at the moment. We can revisit this one later if the entire season really is dead.