sorted by probability of Hurricane impacts:
![Image](https://i.ibb.co/b2X2Kht/impacta.jpg)
sorted by probability of Major Hurricane impacts:
![Image](https://i.ibb.co/LZJSfxs/impactb.jpg)
1950-2021 Hurricane impacts for US / Florida:
![Image](https://i.ibb.co/wNRbdtF/chrta.jpg)
1950-2021 Major Hurricane impacts for US / Florida:
![Image](https://i.ibb.co/NxnQd5w/chrt.jpg)
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Spacecoast wrote:Haven't seen this posted anywhere else....
sorted by probability of Hurricane impacts:
https://i.ibb.co/RbqtPW7/impact.jpg
sorted by probability of Major Hurricane impacts:
https://i.ibb.co/Lk2PRF3/MHimpact.jpg
1950-2021 Hurricane impacts for US / Florida:
https://i.ibb.co/wNRbdtF/chrta.jpg
1950-2021 Major Hurricane impacts for US / Florida:
https://i.ibb.co/NxnQd5w/chrt.jpg
Blown Away wrote:Spacecoast wrote:Haven't seen this posted anywhere else....
sorted by probability of Hurricane impacts:
https://i.ibb.co/RbqtPW7/impact.jpg
sorted by probability of Major Hurricane impacts:
https://i.ibb.co/Lk2PRF3/MHimpact.jpg
1950-2021 Hurricane impacts for US / Florida:
https://i.ibb.co/wNRbdtF/chrta.jpg
1950-2021 Major Hurricane impacts for US / Florida:
https://i.ibb.co/NxnQd5w/chrt.jpg
Great info, can you send the links to this info?
skyline385 wrote:Blown Away wrote:Spacecoast wrote:Haven't seen this posted anywhere else....
sorted by probability of Hurricane impacts:
https://i.ibb.co/RbqtPW7/impact.jpg
sorted by probability of Major Hurricane impacts:
https://i.ibb.co/Lk2PRF3/MHimpact.jpg
1950-2021 Hurricane impacts for US / Florida:
https://i.ibb.co/wNRbdtF/chrta.jpg
1950-2021 Major Hurricane impacts for US / Florida:
https://i.ibb.co/NxnQd5w/chrt.jpg
Great info, can you send the links to this info?
Its on CSU's page
https://tropical.colostate.edu/TC_impact.html
captainbarbossa19 wrote:skyline385 wrote:Blown Away wrote:
Great info, can you send the links to this info?
Its on CSU's page
https://tropical.colostate.edu/TC_impact.html
Wow! I was looking through the data, and Texas has a 28% chance of a major hurricane this year. The normal chance is 16%. That is not good.
skyline385 wrote:captainbarbossa19 wrote:
Wow! I was looking through the data, and Texas has a 28% chance of a major hurricane this year. The normal chance is 16%. That is not good.
Whats even more crazy is that FL has 49% chance for Major this year while LA is only at 26%
toad strangler wrote:skyline385 wrote:captainbarbossa19 wrote:
Wow! I was looking through the data, and Texas has a 28% chance of a major hurricane this year. The normal chance is 16%. That is not good.
Whats even more crazy is that FL has 49% chance for Major this year while LA is only at 26%
Florida coastline dwarfs LA. Those numbers aren’t a surprise at all.
toad strangler wrote:skyline385 wrote:captainbarbossa19 wrote:
Wow! I was looking through the data, and Texas has a 28% chance of a major hurricane this year. The normal chance is 16%. That is not good.
Whats even more crazy is that FL has 49% chance for Major this year while LA is only at 26%
Florida coastline dwarfs LA. Those numbers aren’t a surprise at all.
skyline385 wrote:captainbarbossa19 wrote:
Wow! I was looking through the data, and Texas has a 28% chance of a major hurricane this year. The normal chance is 16%. That is not good.
Whats even more crazy is that FL has 49% chance for Major this year while LA is only at 26%
skyline385 wrote:toad strangler wrote:skyline385 wrote:
Whats even more crazy is that FL has 49% chance for Major this year while LA is only at 26%
Florida coastline dwarfs LA. Those numbers aren’t a surprise at all.
Florida has a bigger coastline but since 2000, LA had 5 major landfalls and FL had 6 majors. We cant also just ignore recent climo, especially the last two seasons (3 majors for LA) of the current La Nina period.
https://i.imgur.com/lEZ9RUa.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/uUwekZr.jpg
wxman22 wrote:skyline385 wrote:toad strangler wrote:
Florida coastline dwarfs LA. Those numbers aren’t a surprise at all.
Florida has a bigger coastline but since 2000, LA had 5 major landfalls and FL had 6 majors. We cant also just ignore recent climo, especially the last two seasons (3 majors for LA) of the current La Nina period.
https://i.imgur.com/lEZ9RUa.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/uUwekZr.jpg
Yes we can ignore recent climo, thats not how climatology works.You have to look at the LONG term pattern for change. Not just an uptake in landfalls over the last few years.
toad strangler wrote:wxman22 wrote:skyline385 wrote:
Florida has a bigger coastline but since 2000, LA had 5 major landfalls and FL had 6 majors. We cant also just ignore recent climo, especially the last two seasons (3 majors for LA) of the current La Nina period.
https://i.imgur.com/lEZ9RUa.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/uUwekZr.jpg
Yes we can ignore recent climo, thats not how climatology works.You have to look at the LONG term pattern for change. Not just an uptake in landfalls over the last few years.
Just like one can't look at May early development recently as a change in climo either. Florida is always (at least in most of our lifetimes) going to have a much higher chance in charts like these because:
A. The coastline is huge
B. Much of the state is surrounded by water on 3 sides and can take a hit nearly from any direction. No place else in the CONUS has that distinction.
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