Weak el nino by the end of november

[cycloneye]

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2003/s2117.htm

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... _advisory/

Let's see how this ENSO factor develops in the next few months to see how strong or weak el nino will be as the 2004 hurricane season starts in june but if a weak el nino develops and stays forr a long time until next summer it wont be a big factor but if a moderate or strong el nino forms then another will be the story about a less active 2004 hurricane season but then we have to see the other factors such as the atlantic thermoline circulation,the QBO winds,the sst's in the atlantic and how the pressures will be but it is very early to say what kind of season it will be.

[wxman57]

So far, everything is pointing to a weak El Nino to Neutral by next June. Here's another web site with a number of ocean models. They seem split between El Nino and Neutral:

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/ENSO-summary.shtml

[cycloneye]

So far, everything is pointing to a weak El Nino to Neutral by next June. Here's another web site with a number of ocean models. They seem split between El Nino and Neutral:

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/ENSO-summary.shtml

Now let's see how those models perform in the comming months to see if the majority are leaning more towards an el nino event or will they stay neutral for the most part.

[Josephine96]

Just as long as it's not as strong as the 97-98 El Nino. That caused us to get those terrible tornadoes. I have a permanent reminder of those on my kneecap

[Rainband]

I remember that too. My aunts home in Kissimee was 2 blocks away from the damge