Overview of two systems in the ATL

[Stormsfury]

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html

Right now, the globals continue to advertise an area of low pressure cutting across to the SW to WSW and moving across Florida. Yes, the system may acquire subtropical characteristics as it has already separated itself from the trough and has been left behind ...

However, a ton of dry air continues to be in its wake. NONE of the models advertise much of a system once it enters into the GOM. The setup looks strikingly similar to Erika a few months ago in regards to the overall movement that is progged. However, a much different scenario and a different month.

NONE of the globals models I've viewed that have surface winds available are that impressive ... The GFS advertises tropical storm force winds before reaching the Eastern Coast of Florida but basically unravels and weakens... The GFDL basically does the same thing. The EURO loses the system as it approaches Florida and then the low reforms a day later and heads towards MEXICO (ala Erika) as a weak, shallow system.

Right now, I won't rule out SOME development, but a huge system, this is not.

However, NOW in the CENTRAL portion of the ATLANTIC around 23ºN, 50ºW, looks like the beginning of a large Oceanic Storm is beginning to take shape. This was the previous development the models have been picking up on many days ago, however, it doesn't look like it'll be a tropical system, but nonetheless, will probably be much stronger than the remnants of Nicholas/low pressure combination ...