Southwest Caribbean Sea
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AutoPenalti
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Re: Southwest Caribbean Sea
Ridge is quite strong for this time of year. It's more than 2 weeks out but still.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Southwest Caribbean Sea
Circulation clearly visible east of the mountains near the border of Nicaragua and Honduras. Much closer to the Caribbean side. Looks stationary.
Needs to be watched even more now that the vorticity with the monsoon gyre is focused more on the eastern lobe. Models may pick up on this in later runs once the analysis is inputted.
Needs to be watched even more now that the vorticity with the monsoon gyre is focused more on the eastern lobe. Models may pick up on this in later runs once the analysis is inputted.
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If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Re: Southwest Caribbean Sea
Aric Dunn wrote:Circulation clearly visible east of the mountains near the border of Nicaragua and Honduras. Much closer to the Caribbean side. Looks stationary.
Needs to be watched even more now that the vorticity with the monsoon gyre is focused more on the eastern lobe. Models may pick up on this in later runs once the analysis is inputted.
Associated convection over the W. Caribbean seems to be waning however.
Last edited by chaser1 on Thu May 23, 2019 11:15 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Andy D
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
Re: Southwest Caribbean Sea
chaser1 wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:Circulation clearly visible east of the mountains near the border of Nicaragua and Honduras. Much closer to the Caribbean side. Looks stationary.
Needs to be watched even more now that the vorticity with the monsoon gyre is focused more on the eastern lobe. Models may pick up on this in later runs once the analysis is inputted.
Yep, perhaps around 14N & 85W +/- ? 'Course, it's broad, shallow and I'm not sure I'm seeing any actual west inflow near the surface quite yet. Then again..... it's a Gyro (tropical gyre... extra Tzatziki Sauce please!). Still, the 200mb upper pita winds don't look like they're relaxing any time soon. I'd still bet that environmental conditions on the Pacific side might be more conducive for initially plating this tropical dish; With the possibility next week of seeing this energy propagate back to the north/northeast and then perhaps see a tropical lunch begin to take shape in the far W. Caribbean or Yuca-fry's region at that time (as the latest 12Z GFS is now indicating at 108 hr's). I think i'm gonna step away from the tropics and check out the fridge now
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Andy D
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
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BYG Jacob
Re: Southwest Caribbean Sea
CAGs are weird and take forever for any real tropical development to happen. My advice, grab a beer and chill out.
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SFLcane
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Re: Southwest Caribbean Sea
Not much here anymore clearly developing on epac side no model support.
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