On a roll maybe??

[ChaserUK]

Just got this chart from Net-Weather - anyone else notice that mass just coming off the coast of Africa? I will be heading into moist air too - any thoughts??

[/img]

[Valkhorn]

We'll have to see if it has any rotation with it. Even if it does chances are it won't develop until where Nick is around if it does so before the Islands.

Climatologically, cape verde development is getting more and more scarce.

[ChaserUK]

normally yes but have we not have lots of surprises this year??

[wxman57]

It doesn't look as impressive with higher resolution imagery and surface obs plotted. Just a tropical wave with scattered thunderstorms. No organization at all.

<img src="http://home.houston.rr.com/wx/africa.gif">

[Rainband]

Yeah just a run of the mill wave. I would be very surprised if anything else came off the Coast..that amounted to anything :o

[ChaserUK]

dunno - there is a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Mark my word, 95L invest within 12/ 24 hours....

[cycloneye]

It is getting very late for that region to develop something as hostil conditions invade that part of the world but this season has been of weird things happening with many records anything is possible but I would not bet on something developing in late october comming out of africa.

[ChaserUK]

guess its another interesting area to watch possibly. This year has ben very good for that! In fact, there is talk of snow here in the UK next week!!! Bizarre! Thiing is we have a majour drought. I just do not remember any real rain since I came back after chasing Izzy and for months before - very odd year!

[GalvestonDuck]

That first pic looks like how my abdomen feels.

[Rainband]

That first pic looks like how my abdomen feels.

sorry shawn

[ColdFront77]

If the system behind Nicholas becomes Tropical Depression 20 (at least) and this next feature develops, that would be three tropical waves developing into at least tropical depressions all during the month of October.

There are dozens of tropical waves forming every year, in the Atlantic Basin (especially between June and November) and they never reach tropical depression status.

[Valkhorn]

In fact, there are on average over 100 tropical waves worldwide in a single season.

With the Pacific basins combined that's about 35-40 storms conservatively in a season (named) and with the atlantic it is another 10 on average which leads to about 45-50 storms worldwide per year. I'm sure you could also throw in another 2-5 for the Indian ocean and for around Australia.

[Stormsfury]

In fact, there are on average over 100 tropical waves worldwide in a single season.

With the Pacific basins combined that's about 35-40 storms conservatively in a season (named) and with the atlantic it is another 10 on average which leads to about 45-50 storms worldwide per year. I'm sure you could also throw in another 2-5 for the Indian ocean and for around Australia.

Actually I think it's a lot more worldwide. The ATL basin generally sees 100 tropical waves during the season, with 1/10 of those developing into TC's. Based on the rest of the post, I think you meant TC's.

I'm not sure what the number is for the Indian Ocean/Australian Regions (tropicalweatherwatcher from Australia could enlighten us on that one). You're right on the money with the WPAC and EPAC combined.

SF

[ColdFront77]

There are dozens of tropical waves forming every year, in the Atlantic Basin (especially between June and November)
and they never reach tropical depression status.

In fact, there are on average over 100 tropical waves worldwide in a single season.

With the Pacific basins combined that's about 35-40 storms conservatively in a season (named) and with the atlantic it is
another 10 on average which leads to about 45-50 storms worldwide per year. I'm sure you could also throw in
another 2-5 for the Indian ocean and for around Australia.

That is what I was getting at.

[ChaserUK]

wow guys, no idea the Atl basin gets 100 tropical waves each season - that is something else I have learnt!!