8:05PM TWD about CV wave

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*StOrmsPr*
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8:05PM TWD about CV wave

#1 Postby *StOrmsPr* » Sun Oct 12, 2003 6:21 pm

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... XNT20.KNHC


EASTERN ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 36W/37W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING
WEST 10-15 KT. A 1009 MB LOW IS ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 10N36.5W.
THE CONVECTION AROUND THE LOW CONTINUES TO BECOME SLOWLY BETTER
ORGANIZED WITH SOME SIGNS OF THE FORMATION OF BANDING FEATURES.
MORE NUMEROUS TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL
CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM
7N-14N BETWEEN 30W-40W.
[/url]
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 12, 2003 6:57 pm

Very interesting what they are saying and if you look at the NRL invest pic it looks like a TD now.
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#3 Postby *StOrmsPr* » Sun Oct 12, 2003 7:12 pm

Agree 100% with you Luis!!
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Derek Ortt

#4 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Oct 12, 2003 7:21 pm

lets wait until morning visible is available before going ahead and calling this a TD
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Rainband

#5 Postby Rainband » Sun Oct 12, 2003 7:38 pm

Isn't it very odd to see something that far east this time of year..if it develops...any connection to the MJO??? Thanks :wink:
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#6 Postby BEER980 » Sun Oct 12, 2003 8:07 pm

Looks like it is covering almost 10 degrees now. Have to wait on quickscat's next pass to see what's up.
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#7 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Oct 12, 2003 8:41 pm

Rainband wrote:Isn't it very odd to see something that far east this time of year..if it develops...any connection to the MJO??? Thanks :wink:


You're catching on. We're getting one last hurrah before we close the 2003 season out in the deep tropical Atlantic. (Kinda fits, since we had a very early depression out there this year as well, doesn't it?)

Just imagine if we had a La Niña working this year?

SF
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#8 Postby abajan » Sun Oct 12, 2003 9:02 pm

BEER980 wrote:Looks like it is covering almost 10 degrees now.


Yes, its circulation does seem to cover quite a bit of ocean (which can be clearly seen here: http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUIR.JPG). We need to watch this closely. Personally, I don't normally let my guard down till around October 20th each year.
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