93L invest trying to organize

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cycloneye
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93L invest trying to organize

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 12, 2003 6:15 am

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03101209

The models continue to honk at development from this area way too late for that area to develop as climo is against it but this season many odd things had happened.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Here is the NRL sat picture of 93L.
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#2 Postby rainstorm » Sun Oct 12, 2003 7:20 am

thanks cyc. could develop
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 12, 2003 10:34 am

This invest looks more organized than Mindy is.It is trying to wrap around the low pressure the convection but conditions aloft are marginal to poor at best for development but let's watch it as anything can happen out there for so late in the season in the east atlantic.

http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... wt20us.htm

The 11:30 Am TWO says bullish things about 93L.
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#4 Postby stormchazer » Sun Oct 12, 2003 1:37 pm

Looking at the latest loops in the East Atl, it appears that the flow ahead is starting to thin, maybe even dissipate.
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Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged

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#5 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 12, 2003 1:41 pm

Yes Jara even it is lifting more northward opening the door for more favorable conditions.
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 12, 2003 5:33 pm

http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... wt20us.htm

Well at the 5:30 PM EDT outlook they didn't changed a single word from the 11:30 AM one.
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