Mindy a little stronger at 8 pm EDT

[Stormsfury]

Tropical Storm Mindy a little stronger on the 8 pm advisory. RECON extrapolated a 1002mb pressure at the 925mb level with a max wind of 54 kts in the northern quadrant. They didn't have too many problems finding a circ. center on this pass apparently. Maximum sustained winds have increased to 45 mph with higher gusts.

Mindy is the 13th Tropical Storm in the North Atlantic Season and an unprecented 6 season tally (six years in a row with 10 or more tropical storms in the ATL) of 81 tropical storms (13½ per year for the last 6 years).

[cycloneye]

And SF you have your total number of named storms 13 so no more named systems and you will have what you said from the start although the number of hurricanes that you have is 9 well above what it is now 6.

[Stormsfury]

And SF you have your total number of named storms 13 so no more named systems and you will have what you said from the start although the number of hurricanes that you have is 9 well above what it is now 6.

I kinda figured I'd be a little off with the number of hurricanes since La Niña didn't materialize as originally expected. However, with that said, I still think Erika gets revised as a minimal hurricane on best track analysis (the 92 kt velocity recorded by Brownsville Radar just above the surface still sticks in my mind like a sore thumb). Considering this is my first real attempt to predict the number of tropical storms, hurricanes, and majors so far this year, not too bad.

Amazing 6 year total of storms and also unprecedented.

Here's a rundown up to this point.

Year....TS...Hur..Maj
1998....14...10.....3
1999....12....8......5
2000....15....8......3
2001....15....9......4
2002....12....4......2
2003....13....6......3 (Still Ongoing)
Total....81...45....20

I think a lot of did pretty well with numbers in 2003 (barring a sudden explosion of development between now and the end of the season).

[cycloneye]

SF maybe the season can form 1 more to match my total of 14 and I didn't change my forecast numbers 14/8/3 from the day I made my outlook at may 1.SF also Bill came very close to cane status before it made landfall at Louisiana and it very well may haved been a cane briefly what do you think?.

[Stormsfury]

SF maybe the season can form 1 more to match my total of 14 and I didn't change my forecast numbers 14/8/3 from the day I made my outlook at may 1.SF also Bill came very close to cane status before it made landfall at Louisiana and it very well may haved been a cane briefly what do you think?.

Bill had a rough time, and IMHO, the NHC's intensity set was right on the money, and looked better as a tropical cyclone just after landfall. Like I said before, I think we all did pretty good with the numbers this year so far.

SF