18z Models for 91L invest

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Oct 09, 2003 1:51 pm

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03100918

Scroll down the link and you will see the tracks of the tropical models for 91L.They see Tropical storm Mindy out of this but let's wait to see if that happens but regardless of what happens plenty of rain will fall in Puerto Rico.

#2 Postby **vbhoutex** » Thu Oct 09, 2003 2:04 pm

Looks like they are taking it right over you in PR guys. Looks to be one heck of a soaker too!!!!!! BE SAFE!!!

#3 Postby **vbhoutex** » Thu Oct 09, 2003 2:07 pm

Looks like the remnants of Larry are trying to get organized again in the EPAC too. That is what the 1st invest is from. That would be renamed if it happens. Moving WNW to NW along the SE MX coast.

#4 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Oct 09, 2003 2:07 pm

You said the correct word a soaker!!!!.

john186292 · #5 Postby **john186292** » Thu Oct 09, 2003 2:47 pm

Will the hi level Westerlies protect New Orleans from this 91L entity?

#6 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Oct 09, 2003 2:50 pm

New Orleans is not going to see this nor the east coast as this will move out to sea as a trough will not let it get close to the coast.

GulfBreezer · #7 Postby **GulfBreezer** » Thu Oct 09, 2003 2:52 pm

Looks to me like it will eventually move off to the NE and not be a threat to anyone other than PR, stay dry Cyc!!

#8 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Oct 09, 2003 2:53 pm

I will be dry Sandi but I am worried for many people who live near flood areas.

#9 Postby **msbee** » Thu Oct 09, 2003 2:53 pm

cycloneye
I see there is a flash flood watch listed for PR.
we are getting a fair amount of rain here but most of it is South and West of us. you are going to get much more...but then PR always does.
did you get my PM, btw?

JCT777 · #10 Postby **JCT777** » Thu Oct 09, 2003 3:02 pm

This may eventually become Mindy. But as you say, it does not look like a threat to the U.S. coast.

#11 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Oct 09, 2003 3:04 pm

Yes I got it msbee.

Steve H. · #12 Postby **Steve H.** » Thu Oct 09, 2003 3:42 pm

Looks like the closest this may get to the CONUS will be (worst case) as suggested by the BAMM, which is just east of the Turks and Caicos. Interestingly, the GFS and NOGAPS have been barking about developing a TS near 10/40 at 144. They've had it for the last two runs. Could this be a precursor to the last burst of tropical activity? Perhaps. But Upper level winds may be unfavorable for this to occur due to a Mid/Upper low that's forecast to cut off at 12/52. Keep watching the Western Caribbean the next 2/3 weeks. I still feel a major storm may come out of there before November 1st. :wink:

john186292 · #13 Postby **john186292** » Thu Oct 09, 2003 3:50 pm

You bring great good news for us, CYC!
Now, if there were only some way to drain the rain from it before it got to you. One art bell guest suggested space based lasers, which can create an ionized path down , which would promote rain. Or so he claimed,... this newbie can't evaluate all that.

before some bash my source, consider that Kaku, originator of string theory, and two NASA types also appeared on art bell..so dont dismiss my source out of hand. Remember that Galileo was not well received at first. "The earth moves? LOL Why, then we would all be blown off our feet."
KEEP INVENTING,
John New Orleans

john186292 · #14 Postby **john186292** » Thu Oct 09, 2003 3:53 pm

Steve H. and others,
Is it true that the upper westerlies are so well established, that nothing can come up from the Carib. to New Orleans, the rest of this year?

John N. O.

Steve H. · #15 Postby **Steve H.** » Thu Oct 09, 2003 6:50 pm

NO! Patterns can change. Its only 9 October. Still 3 - 4 good weeks left.

18z Models for 91L invest

18z Models for 91L invest

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