Sounds Like Hurricane Season Is Over

[AussieMark]

Global warming..
what do you scholars of storms forsee twenty years from now, as the count, once warming sets in notably?

the count referrs to
the usw, named/hurr/major h.
John new orleans

Thats if u beleive Global Warming is as bad as they say.

The Global temperature does around in cycles as in current times the NET Tropical Cyclones in The Atlantic has risen...As Well as more Hurricane and Major Hurricane.

But if Global Warming was as bad as people say then the entire planet would be experiencing the same.

But to coincide with the Atlantic Activity increasing the eastern Pacific has seen unusual levels of quiet.

Only Tropical Storms are around average
With Hurricane and Major Hurricanes greatly behind on the average levels.

So in conclusion if Global Warming was as bad as the scientists say all the Basins would be getting more storms and more stronger storms each year.

[JCT777]

Weather53,

To date, there have been 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes (3 of which have been major: Fabian, Isabel, and Kate).

Yea i need one more Cane (Not Major) and a Tropical storm as well to hit my numbers:-)

All in all not a bad call.......

King - you may just end up being exactly right. Certainly, you will end up very close unless there is explosive development in the tropics during the next 8 weeks.

[stormchazer]

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Global warming..
what do you scholars of storms forsee twenty years from now, as the count, once warming sets in notably?

Global warming is junk science. Proof of such is like forecasting the weather. Facts are that Hurricane development has been cyclical just like the Earths enviroment. We are in a high activity cycle that is likely to continue through the decade. You are better to look at ENSO forecast to predict activity then to consider global warming theories.

[donsutherland1]

Stormchazer,

There is little dispute that the earth has been warming:

<img src="http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate/research/2002/ann/glob_jan-dec_pg.gif">

The dispute centers on how much each or the combination of the following factors explains the warming that has occurred:

- Natural causes
- Urbanization/"Heat Island" Effect
- Greenhouse Gases
- Miscellaneous or unknown causes

In spite of the warming, there are many variables that determine frequency and intensity of tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean. Thus, one would likely oversimplify if one were to assume that the warming would automatically result in larger numbers and also more intense tropical systems.

For example, would continued warming lead to enhanced and prolonged warm PDO cycles, enhanced and prolonged El Ninos, etc., that could outweigh the impact of warming of the Atlantic Ocean and result in fewer and less intense hurricanes?

[Anonymous]

A few storms suprised us over the years when we thought the season was dead: Roxanne, Mitch, Lenny, Iris, Michelle. Still need to watch.