11 PM EDT Larry a depression, Kate, Nora, and Olaf are canes

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11 PM EDT Larry a depression, Kate, Nora, and Olaf are canes

#1 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Sun Oct 05, 2003 10:04 pm

Good evening everyone. Tropical storm larry weakens to a depression now. Kate remains a hurricane, but is weakening further. The eastern Pacific is also busy with two more hurricanes, Nora and Olaf.

At 10 PM CDT, The government of Mexico has discontinued all warnings for Mexico. At 10 PM CDT, the center of now tropical depression Larry was located near 35 miles east southeast of Coatzacoalcos, Mexico. The depression was moving toward the south southwest at near 3 mph. On this track, Larry will move further inland and dissipate gradually as time wears on.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph, mainly in isolated squalls off the coast of southeast Mexico. Further weakening is expected over the next 24 hours. Minimum central pressure has risen to 1004 mb or 29.65 inches. The main story is heavy rain with Larry with amounts between 8-12 inches poddible over portions of southeast mexico. These rains could cause continuing problems with life threatening flash floods and mudslides.

Elsewhere in the tropics, Hurricane Kate continues to spin northward into the north Atlantic tonight. At 11 PM EDT, Hurricane Kate was located nearly 955 miles south of Cape race, Newfoundland.

Kate is moving toward the north at 12 mph. A north northeast motion with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected over the next 24 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph with higher gusts. Some further weakening is expected over the next 24 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb or 28.85 inches.

Meanwhile, Hurricane Nora has weakened to 85 mph in the eastern pacific. Hurricane Nora is centered near 20.0 degrees north latitude, 114.0 degrees west longitude. Movement is northwesterly at 6 mph. A turn to the north, then northeast is expected over the next few days. Thus a minimal impact along the southern coast of Baja California is possible over the next few days with heavy rainfall and minimal tropical storm force winds. Wednesday would be the most likely time for that near Cabo San Lucas for instance. Maximum sustained winds with Nora are near 85 mph with higher gusts. Further weakening is expected over the next 24 hours as Nora moves over cooler more stable waters. Minimum central pressure is 979 mb or 28.91 inches.

Meanwhile Hurricane Olaf continues to churn to the south and east of Nora with warnings still in effect. Hurricane warnings are up along the Pacific coast from Punta San Telmo to San Blas, Mexico including the Islas Marias. A tropical storm warning is in effect from south of Puna San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas in Mexico.

A hurricane warning means hurricane conditions are expected within 24 hours or less. A tropical storm warning means tropical storm conditions are expected within 24 hours or less. Watches and warnings maybe needed further north into Baja California's coast courtesy of Nora and along the west coast of Mainland Mexico courtesy of Olaf.

At 8 PM PDT, The center of Olaf was located near latitude 17.8 north, longitude 105.3 west or about 110 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.

Olaf is moving toward the northwest at near 7 mph and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On this track, Olaf is expected to remain close to the west coast of Mexico parallel to the coast. However any deviation to the right will take the center of the hurricane nearshore in the hurricane warning areas.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph with higher gusts. little change in strength is expected for the next day or so. Minimum central pressure is 992 mb or 29.29 inches.

The main threats within the hurricane warnings areas along the west coast of Mexico is gusty wind, possibly near hurricane force, large dangeous battering waves, storm surge levels of 3=5 feet and rainfall amounts of 6-12 inches. Flooding and mudslides is a definite possibility along the west Mexican coast over the next few days.

That's the tropics for this time. More early in the morning.

Jim
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Josephine96

#2 Postby Josephine96 » Sun Oct 05, 2003 10:13 pm

Sounds like a bad 4 some with those names lol.. sorry for that sick joke.. I couldn't resist
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#3 Postby wx247 » Mon Oct 06, 2003 6:53 am

As always Jim... I love reading your updates. Thanks! :)
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