When and where will next system form?

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cycloneye
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When and where will next system form?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 05, 2003 7:23 am

Will the rest of october and november see other tropical systems form after Kate and Larry are gone? Some models haved been hinting for days at something in the western caribbean for this week but I dont see nothing out there that may form anytime soon in that area.But let's wait and see if this 2003 season is over or some more developments may form during the rest of the season that has been active with 17 TD'S,12 named storms,6 hurricanes and 3 major canes.
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ColdFront77

#2 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Oct 05, 2003 3:56 pm

I believe that we will see tropical cyclonegensis take place in the Atlantic Basin in the more climatological favorable western Caribbean Sea.

At midnight Eastern, this upcoming Sunday, October 12th, the 2003 Hurricane Season will have 50 days left.

Water temperature will remain warm enough for the next eight weeks to see a couple more tropical storms and/or hurricane.
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#3 Postby bahamaswx » Sun Oct 05, 2003 4:02 pm

I'd look for development from the disturbance near 10N 80W if it can persist... cloud tops have been warming lately though.
Last edited by bahamaswx on Sun Oct 05, 2003 4:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Rainband

#4 Postby Rainband » Sun Oct 05, 2003 4:05 pm

bahamaswx wrote:I'd look for development from the disturbance near 10N 90W if it can persist... cloud tops have been warming lately though.
Isn't that around where some of the models were hinting.. I will have to take a look :wink:
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Rainband

#5 Postby Rainband » Sun Oct 05, 2003 4:07 pm

bahamaswx wrote:I'd look for development from the disturbance near 10N 90W if it can persist... cloud tops have been warming lately though.
Did you mean 80w??
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#6 Postby bahamaswx » Sun Oct 05, 2003 4:10 pm

Yep, typo... fixed it. 10N 90W is in the EPAC :)
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Rainband

#7 Postby Rainband » Sun Oct 05, 2003 4:12 pm

bahamaswx wrote:Yep, typo... fixed it. 10N 90W is in the EPAC :)
:lol: Thats what I was thinking because I am 82.7347 west.. It's ok :) That is the area to watch IMHO :o
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ColdFront77

#8 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Oct 05, 2003 4:30 pm

Upper level wind shear is low at and around 10°N 80°W today. Mine as well watch, at least in the short term.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Sun Oct 05, 2003 6:37 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#9 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 05, 2003 4:54 pm

Let's see what this week brings in terms of anything that might have a chance to develop in the western caribbean.
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Rainband

#10 Postby Rainband » Sun Oct 05, 2003 5:23 pm

cycloneye wrote:Let's see what this week brings in terms of anything that might have a chance to develop in the western caribbean.
We will see :wink:
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