Now to the eastern Pacific where it's busy over there today with not 1 but 2 hurricanes.
Nora is still centered southwest of Baja California carrying maximum sustained of near 100 mph. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/EP ... 1513W5.gif shows the projected path of Nora. A turn toward the northeast is anticipated overtime. Thus Nora could hit the south central Baja coast, but only as a weak tropical storm or possibly even a depression.
The bigger hurricane worth talking about is Olaf given the warnings already posted for the west coast of Mexico.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/EP ... 51513W.gif shows the hurricane and tropical storm warnings already in effect from the Mexican government as well as the projected path. A hurricane warning is in effect on the Pacific coast of Mexico from Punta San Telmo to San Blas. A tropical storm warning has been issued for the coast south of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas. A hurricane warning means hurricane conditions are expected within 24 hours or less. A tropical storm warning means tropical storm conditions are expected within 24 hours or less.
At 11 AM EDT/ 8 AM PDT, Hurricane Olaf is centered about 145 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico. Olaf is moving towards the northwest at near 10 mph and this motion is expected to continue over the next 24 hours. On the present track, Olaf tracks parallel to the Mexican coast. However as mentioned in a discussion last evening, even turn to the right brings this thing on the coast and that's what we need to watch for the potential for hurricane force winds. Either way, effects will be felt as tropical storm force winds and heavy rain squalls move onto the Mexican coast most likely later today near the Manzanillo area for instance.
Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast over the next day or two. Tropical storm force winds were recently reported from a ship just off the Mexican coast. Those tropical storm force winds could spread onshore to Mexico later today. Minimum central pressure is 987 mb or 29.15 inches. Definitely a hurricane to watch ladies and gentlemen.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html one satellite loops shows Nora, Olaf, and a dying Larry.
Good afternoon.
Jim
Nora and Olaf
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Nora and Olaf
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