CHECK CONVECTION BURST AT 81 W. CARIBBEAN........

#1 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 11:09 am

in area of interest to various models:

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html

#2 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 11:17 am

Might this be the future "Mindy?"

lilbump3000 · #3 Postby **lilbump3000** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 11:27 am

Could be models have been detecting that area every now and then with a low pressure forming pushing NW.

#4 Postby **vbhoutex** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 11:32 am

lilbump3000 wrote:Could be models have been detecting that area every now and then with a low pressure forming pushing NW.

And that area is bigger than and almost as organized as Larry!

#5 Postby **HurricaneQueen** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 12:55 pm

Once again, good catch , Dixie (a/k/a Eagle Eye)! Might be something to watch besides Larry sitting out there doing nothing. :wink:

Josephine96 · #6 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 12:58 pm

Larry's making me sea sick cause he aint doin nothing lol

Steve H. · #7 Postby **Steve H.** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 1:15 pm

Models beginning to vary their solutions a bit. Larry piece/NW Carib energy being moved toward South Florida then NOGAPS holds off developing a low until its near the Bahamas and moving slowly NE/N off the Georgia coast. GFS develops a low near the Bahamas, but from the east (there is a small circulation out there) :?:

NOGAPS then develops several areas by 144 hours, with a surface low off the east coast seemingly trapped from moving north by a ridge, while developing a low in the SW Caribbean. NOTE: The 12Z NOGAPS backed off from developing the western Caribbean low at 72 hours, but has this new one at 144. Also closes a couple of lows in the Atlantic during this period. Haven't looked past 24 hours of the GFS (dial up :cry:

) so don't know what that's showing. Lots of hinting but no consistency yet.

CHECK CONVECTION BURST AT 81 W. CARIBBEAN........

CHECK CONVECTION BURST AT 81 W. CARIBBEAN........

Who is online