Larry drifting..

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Josephine96

Larry drifting..

#1 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Oct 02, 2003 10:00 pm

Well.. larry is moving now. Granted 2 mph means he only moves 12 miles every 6 hours but he is moving..

The question is will he stay there and then batter Mexico or will he threaten the Gulf Coast.

If a cold front comes in.. He'll accelerate to the NE and probably be a FLA/Alabama problem.

Or he'll stay right where he is and keep us wondering lol
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Guest

If the cold front.....

#2 Postby Guest » Fri Oct 03, 2003 7:25 am

Does come in and push Larry NE, I'd think the shear would tear the system apart.
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BayouVenteux
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#3 Postby BayouVenteux » Fri Oct 03, 2003 7:46 am

If Larry were stronger, more vertically stacked and intensifying, then the system would probably be influenced to move N, then NE by the next front, but looking at him right now, he's possibly struggling somewhat to maintain as a TS, now that the original front he formed along has dissipated. In addition, the updated forecasts (for my area anyway) seem to indicate that the next front will now be slower to move south and not quite as strong as previously thought.

I hope Larry can habla Espanol. :wink: South of the border appears to be his eventual destination ATTM.
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Andrew '92, Katrina '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Ida '21...and countless other lesser landfalling storms whose names have been eclipsed by "The Big Ones".

ColdFront77

#4 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri Oct 03, 2003 1:58 pm

BayouVenteux wrote:If Larry were stronger, more vertically stacked and intensifying, then the system would probably be influenced to move N, then NE by the next front, but looking at him right now, he's possibly struggling somewhat to maintain as a TS, now that the original front he formed along has dissipated. In addition, the updated forecasts (for my area anyway) seem to indicate that the next front will now be slower to move south and not quite as strong as previously thought.

The convection with Larry late last night into early this morning wasn't impressive to say the least. However, this afternoon the burst may be evident of stregthening.

The 5:00 am EDT discussion on the storm said the following: "the intensity guidance either maintains the current intensity or strengthens the cyclone."

The 11:00am EDT discussion said that the Hurricane Hunter Aircraft didn't yet investigate a portion of the system yet... and there was a possibility that there would be higher winds found in that area.
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