SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT

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cycloneye
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SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 30, 2003 7:16 pm

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 0006.shtml?

No TD tonight because the front is still hindering development but interests in the area have to monitor it.
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 30, 2003 7:37 pm

The question is where would it go if it forms into a tropical cyclone but I think the models will come out with their projections and we will see.
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#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Sep 30, 2003 7:46 pm

Appears as though steering would push Larry toward the east, but how far NE is the big question, IMHO.
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#4 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Sep 30, 2003 7:53 pm

IMO, it's a good thing that there are a lot of factors AGAINST that disturbed area in the BOC. Especially AFTER looking at the Potential Maximum winds (knots) and minimum pressure (mb) maps. (Remember, the values set are 95% never realized ... Isabel was an exception ...)

http://grads.iges.org/pix/atlpot.gif

Several factors are definitely keeping the system at bay... for now.

SF
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#5 Postby vbhoutex » Tue Sep 30, 2003 9:05 pm

Stormsfury wrote:IMO, it's a good thing that there are a lot of factors AGAINST that disturbed area in the BOC. Especially AFTER looking at the Potential Maximum winds (knots) and minimum pressure (mb) maps. (Remember, the values set are 95% never realized ... Isabel was an exception ...)

http://grads.iges.org/pix/atlpot.gif

Several factors are definitely keeping the system at bay... for now.

SF


NO KIDDING SF!!! I HOPE IT CONTINUES TO BE HINDERED!!!!!
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#6 Postby Scott_inVA » Tue Sep 30, 2003 9:20 pm

Map updated with 0Z tropicals.

Scott
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