It is over for the cape verde season

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cycloneye
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It is over for the cape verde season

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 29, 2003 8:05 pm

There is a big trough now in the eastern atlantic that is shutting for this season the CV area.This 2003 year the CV season has seen a very active season which included the only 2 majors so far FABIAN AND ISABEL.But now the attention has to shift to the western caribbean,the BOC,and the western atlantic as the calender changes to october.The question is how many more developments the 2003 season will see.
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#2 Postby AussieMark » Mon Sep 29, 2003 8:09 pm

also notice all the SAL that has developed in the deep tropical atlantic.

What do u make of the final tropical wave that emerged from Africa after Kate could this be a Caribbean Sea development.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/WV/20.jpg
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 29, 2003 8:12 pm

I dont think that nothing will come out of it as no low is with it so far but one can form as you said in the caribbean but subsidence and shear will keep those 2 waves now east of the islands in check.
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#4 Postby JetMaxx » Mon Sep 29, 2003 11:04 pm

Luis, I believe it's over....and maybe for more than the Cape Verde region. We are experiencing near-record cold temps in Georgia and Alabama...and even colder air is on the way for Thursday-Friday.

I'd never rule out a major hurricane in October in the Caribbean and areas as far north as Florida and the Bahamas....but all the "old timers" signs are pointing to an early and colder than normal autumn in this area --and that could mean an early end to hurricane season 2003.

Only time will tell, but sst's will likely fall below 26°C over all the offshore waters from central Florida northward in the next few days, including the northern GOM.
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 30, 2003 5:52 am

Agree Perry that the window for any developments in the northern gulf is less and less probable but still the area to watch is the BOC and the western caribbean as climo favors those areas.
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#6 Postby Aquawind » Tue Sep 30, 2003 7:58 am

No more true CV threats is my GUESS..

To many Obsticals..including shear..and it's not going to get much better as the days progress.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8sht.GIF
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#7 Postby JCT777 » Tue Sep 30, 2003 8:45 am

CV cancel. Still could be a few more storms in the Caribbean before the end of the tropical season.
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