TWO - 530 AM

[AussieMark]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 300904
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2003

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING
TROPICAL STORM KATE...LOCATED ABOUT 620 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
AZORES ISLANDS.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE NORTHWESTERN
TIP OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IS DRIFITNG WESTWARD. THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED OVERNIGHT...BUT IT REMAINS DISORGANIZED AT
THIS TIME. WHILE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND THE WARM GULF WATERS ARE
FAVORABLE... DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE MAY BE HINDERED BY
THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF A COLD FRONT LOCATED TO THE NORTH AND WEST
OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. NEVERTHELESS...THIS DISTURBANCE IS
BRINGING LARGE QUANTITIES OF MOISTURE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. THE COMBINATION OF THIS MOISTURE AND
THE FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND
POSSIBLE FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA FOR THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART