Robert
WGUS42 KTBW 291435
FLWTBW
FLC027-057-081-115-300300-
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1024 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2003
A RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA. THE
MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA STATE PARK. THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA AND HORSE CREEK
NEAR ARCADIA.
THE FLOOD WARNING FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA AND THE MANATEE RIVER
NEAR MYAKKA HEAD HAS BEEN REVISED UPWARD.
A COLD FRONT DRIFTING SOUTH OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA COMBINED WITH TROPICAL MOISTURE
MOVING NORTH AND EAST FROM THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...WILL THREATEN CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA WITH HEAVY RAIN THROUGH MID WEEK.
FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA, THE LATEST STAGE IS 10.8 FEET AT 7 AM
MONDAY. MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST, WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 15.9 FEET AROUND
2 AM WEDNESDAY, WHICH IS 4.9 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE STAGE EXCEEDED THE
FLOOD STAGE OF 11.0 FEET AT 5 PM SUNDAY. THE STAGE WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
AROUND 10 AM FRIDAY. THIS COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 15.9 FEET ON SEP 19
1947. AT 14.5 FEET, FLOODING OF SEVERAL HOUSES BEGINS NEAR 32ND AND 33RD
STREETS IN RUSKIN. AT 13.0 FEET, THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS. AT 11.0 FEET,
THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS.
FOR THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING, WITH A STAGE
OF 12.8 FEET MEASURED AT 9 AM MONDAY. MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST, WITH A
MAXIMUM STAGE OF 16.1 FEET AROUND 8 PM TUESDAY, WHICH IS 5.1 FEET ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE. THE STAGE EXCEEDED THE FLOOD STAGE OF 11.0 FEET AT 11 AM SUNDAY. THE
STAGE WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 5 AM THURSDAY. THIS COMPARES TO A
PREVIOUS CREST OF 15.7 FEET ON SEP 1 1985. AT 15.0 FEET, LOW SECTIONS OF
STATE ROAD 64 START TO FLOOD. AT 11.0 FEET, PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE
DOWNSTREAM FLOOD. AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.
FOR THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA STATE PARK, THE LATEST STAGE IS 6.3 FEET AT 7 AM
MONDAY. MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST, WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 9.6 FEET AROUND
2 AM FRIDAY, WHICH IS 2.6 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE
THE FLOOD STAGE OF 7.0 FEET AROUND 12 AM TUESDAY. THIS COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS
CREST OF 9.5 FEET ON JUL 4 1974. AT 10.6 FEET, THE WALKWAY TO THE RIVER GAGE
FLOODS. AT 8.5 FEET, MOST OF MYAKKA STATE PARK IS CLOSED. AT 8.0 FEET, THE
MAIN PARK ROAD FLOODS. AT 7.0 FEET, TRAILS, PICNIC AREAS, AND PARKING LOTS
FLOOD.
FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA, THE LATEST STAGE IS 10.2 FEET AT 7 AM MONDAY.
MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST, WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 13.9 FEET AROUND 8 PM
THURSDAY, WHICH IS 0.9 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE
FLOOD STAGE OF 13.0 FEET AROUND 2 AM WEDNESDAY. THIS COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS
CREST OF 13.9 FEET ON MAY 17 1957. AT 13.0 FEET, RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN
WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640 ARE COMPLETELY COVERED BY WATER. ONE HOME
BEGINS TO FLOOD. AT 12.0 FEET, WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL
RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640.
FOR THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA, THE LATEST STAGE IS 10.0 FEET AT 9 AM MONDAY.
MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST, WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 12.9 FEET AROUND 2 AM
SATURDAY, WHICH IS 1.9 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE
FLOOD STAGE OF 11.0 FEET AROUND 6 AM TUESDAY. THIS COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS
CREST OF 12.9 FEET ON SEP 22 1945. AT 13.0 FEET, PEACE RIVER ESTATES FLOODS
AFFECTING SEVERAL DOZEN HOMES. AT 12.0 FEET, THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS. AT
11.0 FEET, ACCESS ROADS TO RIVER ACRES BECOME FLOODED. AT 10.0 FEET, 3 TO 4
HOMES IN THE RIVER ACRES SUBDIVISION FLOOD AND THE LOWEST PORTION OF THE GIRL
SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
FOR THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA, THE LATEST STAGE IS 10.3 FEET AT 7 AM MONDAY.
MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST, WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 14.0 FEET AROUND 02 AM
THURSDAY, WHICH IS 2.0 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE
FLOOD STAGE OF 12.0 FEET AROUND 8 PM TUESDAY. THIS COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS
CREST OF 14.0 FEET ON JUN 23 1995. AT 15.0 FEET, ROYAL PARK ESTATES ARE
AFFECTED NEAR STATE ROAD 72. AT 14.0 FEET, BUILDINGS IN HIDDEN ACRES FLOOD. AT
12.0 FEET, THE ACCESS ROAD TO HIDDEN ACRES IS IMPASSABLE. AT 11.0 FEET,
SECONDARY ROADS IN HIDDEN ACRES AND ROYAL PALM BEGIN TO FLOOD.
DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY
LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.
$$
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU
LITTLE MANATEE
WIMAUMA 11 10.8 MON 07 AM 14.4 15.8 14.2
MANATEE
MYAKKA HEAD 11 12.8 MON 09 AM 14.8 13.8 10.4
MYAKKA
MYAKKA STAT 7 6.3 MON 07 AM 7.3 8.4 9.4
ALAFIA
LITHIA 13 10.2 MON 07 AM 11.8 13.2 13.9
PEACE
ARCADIA 11 10.0 MON 09 AM 11.1 11.9 12.4
HORSE CREEK
ARCADIA 12 10.3 MON 07 AM 11.2 13.1 13.9