NHC & TPC AT ODDS OVER INVEST 90?.........

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

NHC & TPC AT ODDS OVER INVEST 90?.........

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun Sep 28, 2003 10:56 am

Excerpt from NHC Discussion:

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...IN
NW CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 19N85W. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS SUPPORT POSSIBLE
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NUMEROUS
STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM NORTHWEST OF 20N78W 15N89W...
FROM SE CUBA TO GULF OF HONDURAS.

But the TPC TWO makes light of the disturbance and the Recon. was cancelled. Go figure.

The disturbance looks very healthy right now IMO. Think we should beware of this one.
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#2 Postby Josephine96 » Sun Sep 28, 2003 10:59 am

Dixie.. they may end up making it "17" before recon gets there.. lol...


1/2 the models take it to florida.. the other 1/2 to Mexico or Texas..
0 likes   
Top
Anonymous

#3 Postby Anonymous » Sun Sep 28, 2003 11:07 am

There is no LLC! Sending a recon down there right now would be a waste of time and money.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
BEER980
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1727
Joined: Sat Jun 07, 2003 9:55 am
Location: Ocala, Fl
Contact:
Contact BEER980

#4 Postby BEER980 » Sun Sep 28, 2003 11:11 am

Maybe they are going for the two for one special with the BOC flare up.
0 likes   
Top
fla_girl
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 27
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 7:42 pm
Location: Fort Walton Beach, Florida

#5 Postby fla_girl » Sun Sep 28, 2003 12:39 pm

anything that can remotely get in the gulf of mexico bears watching...

just my two cents
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#6 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun Sep 28, 2003 2:06 pm

You are exactly right, Fla Girl. There is no way out of the GOM once a storm is in there -- unless it fizzles, of course. It's unwise to disregard a potential storm in the GOM.
0 likes   
Top
Derecho
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1011
Joined: Sat Mar 15, 2003 3:15 pm

Organizations...

#7 Postby Derecho » Sun Sep 28, 2003 7:18 pm

NHC is part of TPC, and they're in the same building.

Different groups of people, however doing the TWOs and TWDs.

The 2PM NHC TWD was 3 hours later than the 11:30AM NHC/TPC TWO. It improved between the two products.

People spend too much time microanalyzing word choices and such, particularly in TWOs.
0 likes   
Top
ColdFront77

#8 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Sep 28, 2003 7:23 pm

I agree with you Derecho. However, there has to be a reason for the word choices.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Sun Sep 28, 2003 7:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#9 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun Sep 28, 2003 7:30 pm

Derecho, thanks for your take on the confusing language of the TWO and Disc.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: cheezyWXguy, Cpv17, CycloysisNegative, Heretoserve, Hurricane2022, Hurricaneman, Hypercane_Kyle, riapal, Steve H., Sunnydays, TampaWxLurker and 90 guests