Tropical wave along 44W

[colbroe]

.TROPICAL WAVES...
Tropical wave extends from 07N25W to 15N24W moving W at 10-15 kt.
A 1013 mb low is centered at the southern extend of the wave axis
and remains embedded within the Monsoon Trough axis. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is from 07N-14N between
19W-27W.

[AJC3]

Elongated, but well-defined T-wave moving through an area of brutally high wind shear


...TROPICAL WAVES...

Tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 06N to
16N with axis near 44W, moving W at 15 kt over the past 24 hours.
The wave is in a region of unfavorable to neutral deep layer wind
shear. Furthermore, CIRA LPW imagery from surface to 850 mb show
pockets of dry air in the wave environment while water vapor
imagery show dry air in the middle to upper levels. These factors
are limiting the convection to scattered showers from 06N to 14N
between 37W and 53W.

[ThetaE]

The 12z GFS develops this into a fish storm. I had to double-check to make sure I wasn't looking at the CMC when I first saw it.

Not too favorable conditions overall, though.

[Alyono]

not sure why this is being ignored by NHC. There's more model support for this than there ever was for the Bahamian disturbance

[HURRICANELONNY]

Put your map where your mouth is.......