Will Danny be THE hurricane of 2015?

[CaliforniaResident]

Do you think Danny will be the most notable hurricane of 2015? I am counting both the Atlantic and the EPAC (not the WPAC or Indian ocean because they are called Typhoons and not hurricanes).

Or do you think there will be a more "notable" hurricane (not going strictly by strength but by the most "remembered" hurricane occurring this year).

Also feel free to discuss what makes a hurricane the most memorable/notable that year; we can also agree that Sandy was the most memorable hurricane of 2012 despite more powerful fish storms that season for extremely obvious reasons. But if there's no catastrophic landfalling hurricane that season, what other criteria do you go by?

[Yellow Evan]

Maybe something in Mexico or Hawaii.

[YoshiMike]

Well there are two possible waves headed off of the coast of Africa, with a possible third, so honestly you just have to wait and see. Kilo seems pretty legitimate too. I honestly think I would.have to wait and see for most memorable. Danny will be hard to beat with how intense it became when it was definitely not excepted, and ESPECIALLY if it makes it though the expected shear and picks back up afterwards. Danny has been a tough little fellow. But hey the season ain't over yet!

[Brent]

Well if that California hurricane you've been predicting happens I don't think anything will top that just from the sheer historical angle.

[northjaxpro]

Still have quite a bit of season to come. However, for the time being, Danny certainly.has staked his claim as a truly remarkable hurricane due to its tiny size and to become a major Cat 3 tropical cyclone out in the MDR when most observers and experts did not see it coming in the midst of a strong El Nino this season lending to hostile conditions across the North Atlantic basin this season.

[LarryWx]

For the Atlantic, I'd say that a landfalling CONUS cane would be the most memorable for many here should it occur. Though I don't expect Danny to do it or even the wave following it, some analogs of 2nd year strong Nino's suggest to me a nontrivial chance for 1-2 much closer in storm formations leading to US H hits with the strongest perhaps a cat 2-3 hitting near NW FL in late Sep to early Oct. This isn't predictable, of course. But this scenario wouldn't surprise me.

[euro6208]

Do you think Danny will be the most notable hurricane of 2015? I am counting both the Atlantic and the EPAC (not the WPAC or Indian ocean because they are called Typhoons and not hurricanes).

Or do you think there will be a more "notable" hurricane (not going strictly by strength but by the most "remembered" hurricane occurring this year).

Also feel free to discuss what makes a hurricane the most memorable/notable that year; we can also agree that Sandy was the most memorable hurricane of 2012 despite more powerful fish storms that season for extremely obvious reasons. But if there's no catastrophic landfalling hurricane that season, what other criteria do you go by?

Typhoons are the same as Hurricanes but stronger...

I think the most notable storms will be in the WPAC...

[galaxy401]

Do you think Danny will be the most notable hurricane of 2015? I am counting both the Atlantic and the EPAC (not the WPAC or Indian ocean because they are called Typhoons and not hurricanes).

Or do you think there will be a more "notable" hurricane (not going strictly by strength but by the most "remembered" hurricane occurring this year).

Also feel free to discuss what makes a hurricane the most memorable/notable that year; we can also agree that Sandy was the most memorable hurricane of 2012 despite more powerful fish storms that season for extremely obvious reasons. But if there's no catastrophic landfalling hurricane that season, what other criteria do you go by?

Typhoons are the same as Hurricanes but stronger...

I think the most notable storms will be in the WPAC...

We get it "Typhoons are AWESOME!"... He was talking about strictly hurricanes not typhoons...

As for the question at hand, obviously not since the EPAC has spawned several category 4s. Maybe the Atlantic but there could be a surprise.

[Ntxw]

Depends on your definition of "the" hurricane. Just my opinons to date

Biggest surprise: Danny
Historic: Fred (Cape Verde Island)
Most powerful: Jimena

A lot of what is occurring in the CPAC is also historic. The level of activity is record breaking.

Though still a lot of season left in both Atlantic and East Pacific. Any land-falling major hurricane would easily make "the
" list. I think odds are greatest for the west coast of Mexico. Like Odile last season something big could strike again there when putting everything into perspective. Hawaii has dodged some big bullets too.


In terms of globally, the storm to match intensity wise is STY Soudelor

[HurricaneRyan]

Agreed with the above post. Fred and Jimena are the two players for IT hurricane this year.

[HurricaneRyan]

Joaquin is definitely outdoing Danny!

[northjaxpro]

Joaquin definitely will be the storm to look back on this season and the story isn't done yet. Joaquin has already outperformed and overachieved much more than Danny ever did. Joaquin originated from the origins of being a large upper level low and made the extremely rare transition to burrow its way to the surface to become a tropical cyclone. Plus, I think Joaquin will become a Cat 4 hurricane tomorrow, also surpassing Danny.

Finally, Joaquin is also doing something unfortunately that Danny was able not to do, and that is affect land areas, as Joaquin is already making his presence felt there across portions of the Central Bahamas, which could potentially be devastating. Plus, potentially down the road in a few days could impact the Mid Atlantic and Northeast U.S. region. The potential is there in which Joaquin could impact many people if it landfalls on the U.S. East Coast. Lots will be discussed about Joaquin's formation, potential damage and impacts , and full trek well after this hurricane season concludes.

[northjaxpro]

Well, I thought it would be reflective to bring this thread from out of the closet huh? My how the perspective has changed. I don't think anyone could have envisioned what has taken place these past few days with the historic mega tropical cyclone Patricia! She is an all timer for the ages for sure. Despite the strong El Nino, it has been an unexpected active season, and one of the most interesting we have had in years. This season has been capped off amazingly with two extremely powerful tropical cyclones with Joaquin in the North Atlantic basin and the monster of the ages, Patricia in the Eastern Pacific.

At the time when this thread was created, it appeared Danny would be the storm of 2015. I wished Joaquin and Patricia would have followed Danny's lead in not impacting anyone
However, it just goes to show how difficult tropical weather and tropical cyclone forecasting is still, despite all of the advances and strives made in making forecasting much better even over the past 20 years.

Danny was a tiny Cat 3 storm which indeed impressed at the time. But no doubt which storm takes home the title not only for 2015, but for the ages!

[Darvince]

Of course, you should keep in mind that the East Pacific is strengthened by niños.

[northjaxpro]

Of course, you should keep in mind that the East Pacific is strengthened by niños.

Yes I am aware of that. But, still even so, Patricia simply was nothing short of amazing for most of us!!

[Yellow Evan]

Well, I thought it would be reflective to bring this thread from out of the closet huh? My how the perspective has changed. I don't think anyone could have envisioned what has taken place these past few days with the historic mega tropical cyclone Patricia! She is an all timer for the ages for sure. Despite the strong El Nino, it has been an unexpected active season, and one of the most interesting we have had in years. This season has been capped off amazingly with two extremely powerful tropical cyclones with Joaquin in the North Atlantic basin and the monster of the ages, Patricia in the Eastern Pacific.

At the time when this thread was created, it appeared Danny would be the storm of 2015. I wished Joaquin and Patricia would have followed Danny's lead in not impacting anyone
However, it just goes to show how difficult tropical weather and tropical cyclone forecasting is still, despite all of the advances and strives made in making forecasting much better even over the past 20 years.

Danny was a tiny Cat 3 storm which indeed impressed at the time. But no doubt which storm takes home the title not only for 2015, but for the ages!

Patricia was part of an extremely busy 2015 Pacific hurricane season, but honestly 2015 was suppose to be extremely busy in East Pacific. And despite Joaquin, I wouldn't consider the Atlantic overly active, although it was slightly more active than expected.

[Ntxw]

Patricia meteorologically was definitely THE hurricane across the globe in 2015. No contest. Definitely since Haiyan for sure. She developed in an area notorious for very strong hurricanes, if given the right conditions. El Nino stacked the odds on her side and just waited for the right seeding as did similar systems in Linda, Kenna, Marie, Rick etc during other El Nino's. The EPAC as a whole was expected to be much busier than normal, though few probably thought a top 5 or 3 type season ACE wise. The very strong +PDO signal likely had some say in that matter.

For the Atlantic, Joaquin was the signature storm.