18:00 UTC Tropical model suite=Isabel to Colombia !!!!!

#21 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Sep 11, 2003 2:13 pm

Yes LBAR at this run is the best one.

Steve H. · #22 Postby **Steve H.** » Thu Sep 11, 2003 2:25 pm

I don't see any run posted!??? :cry:

Lindaloo · #23 Postby **Lindaloo** » Thu Sep 11, 2003 3:17 pm

**deleted**

Stormsfury · #24 Postby **Stormsfury** » Thu Sep 11, 2003 3:20 pm

The A98E (or NHC98) is a half climatology model which primarily equals useless ... (BTW, the one showing Colombia)

SF

Steve H. · #25 Postby **Steve H.** » Thu Sep 11, 2003 3:21 pm

LBAR usually does a good job on these long tracked mature systems. At least that's what I've heard....I've never graded its performance. Wonder how it did with Fabian??

caribepr · #26 Postby **caribepr** » Thu Sep 11, 2003 3:58 pm

Glad to see you all are on this model... I was just going to write and ask if what it was about - I thought I was really missing EVERYthing I thought I'd been learning here! That model is not a happy concept for anyone around PR and...uh...south;) So...the general concensus is...ignore it?

Stormsfury · #27 Postby **Stormsfury** » Thu Sep 11, 2003 4:18 pm

caribepr wrote:Glad to see you all are on this model... I was just going to write and ask if what it was about - I thought I was really missing EVERYthing I thought I'd been learning here! That model is not a happy concept for anyone around PR and...uh...south;) So...the general concensus is...ignore it?

The EURO or the ECMWF, IMO, is the best MR model guidance there is... hands down. It's an excellent model in regards to handling the overall synoptic pattern. When I do MR prognostic discussions, the EURO is the first model I look at as soon as it released, and will never do an MR without at least consulting. It doesn't develop phantom storms like the GFS does, and has done exceptionally well with TC's such as Floyd, and Bill (earlier this year), and I'm sure DT (WxRisk) can name off several others that I've missed.

SF

caribepr · #28 Postby **caribepr** » Thu Sep 11, 2003 4:48 pm

The EURO or the ECMWF, IMO, is the best MR model guidance there is... hands down. It's an excellent model in regards to handling the overall synoptic pattern. When I do MR prognostic discussions, the EURO is the [b]first[/b] model I look at as soon as it released

Thanks - I'll have to bookmark that, when I find it!

caribepr · #29 Postby **caribepr** » Thu Sep 11, 2003 4:53 pm

Uh oh...I have a lot to learn before that model ( ECMWF ) makes sense to me...right now it reminds me of a color ink blot test..and yes, I see...no, never mind!

caribepr · #30 Postby **caribepr** » Thu Sep 11, 2003 4:53 pm

The EURO or the ECMWF, IMO, is the best MR model guidance there is... hands down. It's an excellent model in regards to handling the overall synoptic pattern. When I do MR prognostic discussions, the EURO is the [b]first[/b] model I look at as soon as it released

Thanks - I'll have to bookmark that, when I find it!

#31 Postby **HurricaneQueen** » Thu Sep 11, 2003 5:14 pm

Is keeping Issy on a much more southerly course. Does not bode well for FL at this time. I know it's still to early but...Yuck!

#32 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Thu Sep 11, 2003 6:04 pm

lol oh crap. Watch out Columbia!

Anonymous · #33 Postby **Anonymous** » Thu Sep 11, 2003 6:39 pm

caribepr wrote:The EURO or the ECMWF, IMO, is the best MR model guidance there is... hands down. It's an excellent model in regards to handling the overall synoptic pattern. When I do MR prognostic discussions, the EURO is the first model I look at as soon as it released

Thanks - I'll have to bookmark that, when I find it!

Here are two links to the ECMWF EURO model, caribepr:

http://www.ecmwf.int/

http://weather.unisys.com/ecmwf/

That should help.

-Jeb

caribepr · #34 Postby **caribepr** » Thu Sep 11, 2003 9:14 pm

Thanks Jeb, appreciate it.

caribepr · #35 Postby **caribepr** » Thu Sep 11, 2003 9:15 pm

Thanks Jeb, appreciate it.

18:00 UTC Tropical model suite=Isabel to Colombia !!!!!

Lbar-if I'm reading correctly

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