Upper Low Over FL Straits: 0% / 0%

[StormTracker]

Been watching this thing since this am thinking it might be a sleeper(no model support)! This time of year, you never know...ST

[Hurricaneman]

This looks interesting as of now, even T'storms around the possible center according to radar
http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ppa ... r_keys.gif

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[ROCK]

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... X&loop=yes

Key west....radar...looks like a mini TS...

[Hurricaneman]

I wouldn't be surprised if this beat pouch25 to invest 96L status

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[MGC]

Just looking at the Key West radar you would go WOW....with time the ULL could bore down to the surface. Something to watch for sure....MGC

[Aric Dunn]

Just looking at the Key West radar you would go WOW....with time the ULL could bore down to the surface. Something to watch for sure....MGC

its not a "boring" down ... more a convective process of lowering pressure at the surface. the density of the upper atmosphere is not enough to "work" to the surface in that sense.... however it can aid convection that eventually ( do to dynamical processes) develop a surface circ that eventually if either the upper low propagates far enough away or weakens allows the surface circ to deepen... all that said.. the radar out of key west is looking not far above the surface there appears to be at least some development of a lower level circ. it however has a long way to go.

[northjaxpro]

Yeah, Aric it has way to go still. However, Key West radar clearly shows a mid level circulation moving through the Middle Keys currently. Pressure at Marathon at this hour was at 1015.8 mb, not very low but pressures there earlier on Tuesday was at 1017 mb, so slight drop.

We will see what happens on Wednesday. The system will enter the SE GOM and if it can buid convection, it will definitely help the process of getting this at the surface as time progresses. A system to watch for sure.

[jaguarjace]

Made a gif loop.

[hiflyer]

Still 10% at 2am per NHC but sure does look interesting after this slow summer..grin! Either way gonna be a poor day in the Keys for suntans. KMTH dropped from 30.02 to 29.95 over past 6 hours...Marathon...which is midway down the Keys. KEYW=Key West went from 30.02 to 29.96 at the far end of the Keys. Up on the mainland KMIA, Miami International, did a 30.03 to a 29.96

[Hurricane Alexis]

Feeder band setting up over SE Florida. Kinda weird cause only tropical cyclone's bring feeder bands like this over here.

[cycloneye]

Down to 0%-0%.

CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND ADJACENT WATERS
ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A SURFACE
CIRCULATION...AND NO DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED
WHILE IT DRIFTS NORTHWARD DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

[abajan]

Down to 0%-0% ...

That about sums up the season so far. lol

[Frank2]

The bands moved northward overnight and we are now overcast with occasional rain - as others said the ULC/MLC spin looked impressive on radar but seems to have weakened a bit in the past couple of hours...

[vbhoutex]

ok, am I crazy? Uh, don't answer that!!! Did this make a right turn overnight? IIRC, it was moving WNW to NW yesterday and now it looks like it is going up the spine of the peninsula.

[ROCK]

ok, am I crazy? Uh, don't answer that!!! Did this make a right turn overnight? IIRC, it was moving WNW to NW yesterday and now it looks like it is going up the spine of the peninsula.

the NAM has it drifting up the spine as well...really hasnt moved all that much for a few days. Steering flow for surface features would suggest a northern drift.....

[NDG]

Story of this season most times, watching mid and upper level lows for entertainment because there is nothing else going on in the tropics.

[northjaxpro]

The steering flow is weak currently, and the system did resume a more northward drift the past several hours. Look like a wet day in store for the extreme southern peninsula. No development expected, especially now that this Mid-Upper Low appears headed to move up the spine of the peninsula for the time being. Just another rainmaker for the southern peninsula.

[LaBreeze]

Local met is saying that this is going north and will only be a rainmaker for Florida - rest of Gulf is protected by the high and its dry air.

[ROCK]

Local met is saying that this is going north and will only be a rainmaker for Florida - rest of Gulf is protected by the high and its dry air.

there is a naked LLC in the middle of the GOM moving towards TX.... trying to be positive...