EBOC Disturbance

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
Frank2
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4061
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2005 12:47 pm

EBOC Disturbance

#1 Postby Frank2 » Thu Oct 04, 2012 11:12 am

IR Loop shows increasing outflow at the end of the cold front just to the west of the Yucatan Peninsula...

Any comments from the Pro Mets here?

Thanks,

Frank
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: EBOC Disturbance

#2 Postby Sanibel » Thu Oct 04, 2012 2:23 pm

I tried to get something out of the last front down there to no avail. This one does look like it has more of a proper twist to it but the 2012 anemia appears to be the dominating factor. Summer heat has returned here so conditions could be better. I'm not sure if it is over land and too far south, not to mention lacking convection.

I think a lot of board members have quit on this season.
Last edited by Sanibel on Thu Oct 04, 2012 11:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
LarryWx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6311
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 2:04 pm
Location: GA

Re: EBOC Disturbance

#3 Postby LarryWx » Thu Oct 04, 2012 3:21 pm

Sanibel wrote: I think a lot of board members have quit on this season.


Either that or fallen asleep. The last month or so has been about as boring as can be for many hurricane enthusiasts due to a lack of activity in the western basin. I'm almost falling asleep just posting this lol. Some have been happy with that but I'm confident that many have not been thrilled. Furthermore, there's still no threat to the CONUS or nearby areas in sight.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22980
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: EBOC Disturbance

#4 Postby wxman57 » Thu Oct 04, 2012 3:54 pm

It's a weak tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trof. We've followed it all the way from when it moved off the west coast of Africa on September 19th. Just a temporary flare-up. Development is unlikely.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricanehink
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2040
Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
Location: New Jersey

Re: EBOC Disturbance

#5 Postby Hurricanehink » Fri Oct 05, 2012 9:59 am

I know odds are low for the system, but it's still there today and not looking too shabby.
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: EBOC Disturbance

#6 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 05, 2012 2:00 pm

TWC says it is headed towards wicked dry continental air to its NW.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: AnnularCane, TampaWxLurker, TomballEd, weatherSnoop and 47 guests