A few things to note here......
The Azores high *should* keep the system on a more w-wnw track for now....... pending the system doesnt get to strong, if it becomes a strong TS early on then forget it, its going sea bound, however if it is only a weak-moderate TS in the next few days then it is looking at predominant easterlies, either way i believe it will head to the NE of the islands.... Which brings up the next point, the Bermuda High, there is a weakness in high pressure NE of the islands there(between the Bermuda high and the Azores High) It could get turned away at this point, thus deflecting it from the east coast...... all depending on its strength, the weaker it is at this point, the greater the chance it has of continuing WNW-NW towards the east coast, where things would get really interesting.
Currently I do believe it will head WNW at this point strenghtening slowly to a moderate tropical storm over the next few days.... Meaning i am leaning towards a more southerly track in the immediate future, because shear readings show that there is some strong shear around the system.... that could inhibit rapid development....
http://www.wunderground.com/data/640x480/atlm_shear.gif
Not anything major to rip it apart, but enough to keep it in check IMO, after it gets NE of the islands i do believe that it will turn out to sea and not affect the east coast.....Again it all depends on the strength of this developing system
