Possible development in carribean...??
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Still looks like it has a weak closed low looking at the loops, but the convection still in a plusing/waning phase.
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Aquawind
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Seems to be lacking moisture and thus the rotation is less obvious than recent days. Overall in a couple days this tiny blip could be an invest if the rotation continues and the convection persists of course. Tiny dry area ahead and then things juice up pretty good at this point.
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html
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srainhoutx
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Re: Possible development in carribean...??
After convection collapsed this morning, the pulse has come back rather strong...
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Yeah thats quite a decent pluse as well, but of course it won't make much of a difference to the systems chances if it poofs almost as quickly...we will see, if it was near land it'd have a real chance right now.
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Aric Dunn
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Re:
KWT wrote:Yeah thats quite a decent pluse as well, but of course it won't make much of a difference to the systems chances if it poofs almost as quickly...we will see, if it was near land it'd have a real chance right now.
yeah its a very small system and there some convergence but every little collapse probably disrupts it .. hence the constant pulses. if there was really large burst that would drop the pressure enough to expand the pressure gradient and increase the size of the circulation that it would have a better chance..
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tolakram
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Re: Possible development in carribean...??
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bvigal
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Re: Possible development in carribean...??
Yes, the dry air/SAL from yesterday, http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/3091/m8g10split4.jpg has moved west, and the trough/twave approaching from E, so moisture improving.
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/prwv.html
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/prwv.html
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Just as quick as that convection blew up it totally poofed again!
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Re: Possible development in carribean...??
This one has my eye for sure. I think it has potential to eventually do something. It's just in the place where anything can happen.
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Re: Possible development in carribean...??
Don't know about the Caribbean, but looks like the ITCZ is getting active. An area in the central atlantic and one in the east central atlantic look to have some promise in the next few days. No real model support though.
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