Internal Hurricane Research Division Thoughts...

[wxman57]

Thought y'all might like to see what the folks at the Hurricane Research Division are saying tonight. I agree, the weak swirl in the Bahamas is not what we need to be focusing on now. Here's their discussion:

"SYNOPTIC SITUATION

The ex-cold low from yesterday is now reorganizing northeast of the Bahamas with enhanced convection, a weak mid-level circulation and an evolving upper level outflow pattern. A weak low-level circulation feature has been evident in the low clouds southwest of the mid level center over the Turks and Caicos Islands. This later feature seems to be weakening as convection organizes around the mid level center. The entire complex appears to be moving west at about 10 kt, or 4 deg per day. This system or its remnants is expected over Florida on Thursday and in the Gulf on Friday- Sunday.

An upper cold low is centered just east of Jamaica and may be drifting west-southwest ahead of the Bahamas system, possibly enhancing the upper outflow mechanism. The 53rd found no closed circulation today. Tomorrow the GIV will fly a high-level synoptic surveillance pattern around and through the complex system and the 53rd will again investigate at low level.

Elsewhere, the tropics remain pretty quiet. Waves continue to roll off Africa and dissipate."

[ALhurricane]

That definitely goes in line with what I was thinking, along with what several others here have stated. I wish the NHC would have mentioned more about this scenario in the latest TWO, but there I go wishing again!

It is fairly apparent the area associated with the mid level center is the only place where development is going to occur, if it occurs.