will 2010 be as active as 2005?

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KWT
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#21 Postby KWT » Sun Jul 04, 2010 1:33 pm

I think its quite obvious 1887 probably matched 1933 and I wouldn't be all that surprised if we were closer to 25 in both of those seasons.
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#22 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Jul 04, 2010 2:38 pm

Here's my question...are you basing activity off of named storms, or off of ACE? Named storms is a no...ACE? Maybe...if we get a bunch of strong, long trackers.
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#23 Postby KWT » Sun Jul 04, 2010 2:45 pm

I think in terms of ACE I'd have thought this season will probably be quite close to a top 10 season ever in 161 years and could well be quite a bit higher up the ranking if things really explode.
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#24 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 10, 2010 8:12 am

brunota2003 wrote:Here's my question...are you basing activity off of named storms, or off of ACE? Named storms is a no...ACE? Maybe...if we get a bunch of strong, long trackers.


ACE, same as what you said but numbers will not be close at all.
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#25 Postby KWT » Sat Jul 10, 2010 10:29 am

Well we are falling a long way behind 2005 now and we won't catch up either, and we are actually starting to really fall behind the top 8 seasons average as well now...
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Re: will 2010 be as active as 2005?

#26 Postby ROCK » Sun Jul 11, 2010 6:50 pm

2005 was an anomaly...we had an abnormal monsoon trof set up in the carib. That spawned some close to home action....then the CV season kicked off and we then had our greek alphabet guys...

2010 is going to be active just not in the next week or so.....I think its safe to say that when we have developement there are going to be some big ones with all the heat content out there...
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