EPAC Development Near Baja Again? Olaf Part Duex?

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srainhoutx
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EPAC Development Near Baja Again? Olaf Part Duex?

#1 Postby srainhoutx » Tue Oct 06, 2009 4:28 pm

ECMWF has been rather consistant the past few runs of another EPAC system. Could prove interesting again as Olaf showed this past weekend. Another Front and another possible EPAC Cyclone

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Re: EPAC Development Near Baja Again? Olaf Part Duex?

#2 Postby Macrocane » Tue Oct 06, 2009 9:33 pm

Jimena also made landfall in Baja, I think there is a very good chance of development late this week into early next week, there is currently atropical wave entering the EPAC, let's see if it is what the models develop.
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Re: EPAC Development Near Baja Again? Olaf Part Duex?

#3 Postby Ptarmigan » Tue Oct 06, 2009 11:16 pm

We shall see about this one. Could give us rain.
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Re: EPAC Development Near Baja Again? Olaf Part Duex?

#4 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 08, 2009 12:34 pm

TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU OCT 8 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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Re: EPAC Development Near Baja Again? Olaf Part Duex?

#5 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 08, 2009 6:53 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU OCT 8 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BEVEN
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#6 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 09, 2009 6:49 am

088
ABPZ20 KNHC 091145
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI OCT 9 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

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Re: EPAC Development Near Baja Again? Olaf Part Duex?

#7 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 09, 2009 7:41 am

Thread is locked as is Invest 92E.Go to the 92E thread at Active Storms forum.

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=106824&p=1931699#p1931699
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