TSR (Tropical Storm Risk) April Forecast (15/8/4)

[cycloneye]

The Tropical Storm Risk private firm folks have in this April forecast an average season if you follow the increased activity since 1995.They didnt change the numbers from the December ones.Read it at link below.

http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

[HURRICANELONNY]

In his PRECISION paragragh. He says April was less impressive in earlier forecasts. It's a crap shoot this early. At least he's honest.

[wxman57]

15/8/4, now where have I seen those numbers before...?

[Derek Ortt]

you might want to change your first post where you say 15/8/4 is an active season

it is an average season

15/8/4 is also becoming the stock forecast as everyone seems to wind up with those numbers

[Ed Mahmoud]

you might want to change your first post where you say 15/8/4 is an active season

it is an average season

15/8/4 is also becoming the stock forecast as everyone seems to wind up with those numbers

I think my preseason poll numbers will be lower than that. Just an unscientific gut feeling, that we are do for a quiet season, especially in the Gulf.

[cycloneye]

Why TSR use different parameters than CSU? Which will be right at the end of the season? Those are only two of many questions about the difference in the numbers from the two private organizations.Lets see what NOAA has when they release their 2009 forecast on late May.